Aamara Capital13 Oct 2026 · For internal use only
Simplex Infrastructures Ltd
NSE: SIMPLEXINF · BSE: 523838 · CSE: 29053 · Civil EPC · Kolkata
CMP₹249
Mcap₹1,964 Cr
P/E TTM43.5x
RatingCARE D

Snapshot — Simplex Infrastructures Ltd

NSE: SIMPLEXINF · BSE: 523838 · CSE: 29053 · CIN L45209WB1924PLC004969 · Data as of 13 Oct 2026 close (Screener); latest reported quarter Q1 FY27 (Jun-26); FY26 Annual Report filed 29-Aug-2026. Q2 FY27 not yet reported. Units ₹ Cr unless stated.

Conflict of interest disclosure. Per Simplex's NSE "Allotment of Securities" filing dated 29-May-2025, an entity named Aamara Capital Private Limited was a non-promoter preferential allottee of 1,00,000 Simplex equity shares at ₹289 (≈₹2.89 Cr; ≈0.13% of ~7.9 Cr post-issue shares [Est.]). Whether that entity still holds the shares today is not known from public data. Readers should treat this report's views accordingly. The analysis and verdict are deliberately evidence-based and have not been tilted in either direction.
FY26 Revenue (consol.)₹1,021 Cr−5.1% YoY · standalone ₹670 Cr (−8.4%) [Fact]
FY26 PAT (consol.)₹40.4 CrOwners ₹40.0 Cr · EPS ₹5.20 · TTM ₹46 Cr
Operating EBITDA margin5.4%Consol. ₹55.2 Cr ex-other income · standalone 8.1% (₹54.4 Cr) · reported 8.8% incl. OI
RoE / RoCE5.3% / 2.3%Consol. RoE · standalone RoCE (Screener 5.1% / 2.4%)

Quick Verdict Scorecard

BusinessWeak
Management / GovernanceWeak
FinancialWeak
ValuationExpensive
OverallNegative

Badges are identical on Tab 13. "Negative" = the price already discounts a successful re-rating, while the downside tails (NARCL snap-back, Oman guarantee, DTA, aged receivables) are unpriced. [Analyst View]

Market data

ItemValue
CMP (13-Oct-2026)₹249 (NSE close ₹248.81, +1.0%)
Market cap₹1,964 Cr
Fully diluted mcap (8.565 Cr sh)₹2,133 Cr
Shares outstanding / fully diluted7,90,95,346 / 8,56,51,229
52-week high / low₹318 / ₹136
Returns1-yr −12% (Screener; −13.7% ScanX) · 6-m +29% · 3-yr CAGR 59% · 5-yr CAGR 41%
P/E43.5x TTM · 47.9x FY26 EPS · 48.6x mcap/FY26 PAT
P/B2.0x reported (BV ₹123) · 4.7x ex-DTA
EV / operating EBITDA~40x–66x depending on debt basis (see Tab 12)
Dividend / buybackNil since FY19 / none
Listed date / index membershipNot Available — not in AR FY25/FY26 or Screener pages reviewed
Shareholders (Sep-26)14,695

Company overview

ItemDetail
HQ"Simplex House", 27 Shakespeare Sarani, Kolkata 700017; branches Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai + overseas branches
Founded1924 (FY26 = 101st year; 108th AR)
Employees561 permanent; 1,166 total workforce (31-Mar-26)
PromoterMundhra family — 35.99% (33.09% of it pledged to NARCL under MRA); Chairman Rajiv Mundhra (non-exec)
Largest holderNARCL 16.24% (= 15.0% fully diluted) + nominee director
SectorDiversified civil EPC: piling, power civil (chimneys/cooling towers), transmission, roads, buildings, urban infra, marine; coal-mine MDO via 51% SPV; onshore oil drilling
Credit ratingsCARE D (13-Nov-2025) / IVR D (22-Sep-2025) — default grade
AuditorBinayak Dey & Co. (sole proprietor), FY23–FY27; unmodified opinion; going concern is a KAM
RestructuringNARCL Master Restructuring Agreement (MRA) signed 15-Jan-2025, implemented 31-Mar-2025

Plain-English description

Simplex is a 101-year-old Kolkata civil-engineering contractor that was once one of India's best-known piling and power-plant-civil specialists (tall slipform chimneys up to 275 m, cooling towers, deep foundations, ports). It defaulted on its debt from roughly FY20, was rated D, and in 2024–25 went through a NARCL-led resolution: lenders holding 85.44% of debt assigned it to NARCL (which paid ₹640 Cr for ~₹5,650 Cr of exposure), and under the MRA NARCL accepted ₹1,250 Cr of "sustainable debt" over 7 years plus 15% of equity; if the company defaults, NARCL can reinstate ₹8,046.36 Cr (Note 11(D)). The company has since raised ₹281.59 Cr of fresh equity and returned to small profits. It is now a sub-scale contractor (standalone revenue ₹670 Cr, still shrinking) whose consolidated revenue is padded by a near-zero-margin domestic coal-mine MDO subsidiary (PC Patel Mahalaxmi, ~35% of revenue), whose net worth is 58% deferred tax asset, and which carries ~₹1,015 Cr of exposure to an insolvent Omani associate. Order inflows have recovered in FY27 (₹1,175 Cr YTD per the 5-Oct-2026 NSE filing), including a ₹255.52 Cr Oil India drilling contract.

Reconciled headline figures (used identically in every tab)

#ItemFigure usedLabelAlternative / note
1FY27 YTD order inflow (to 5-Oct-2026)≈₹1,175 Cr (₹920 Cr + Oil India ₹255.52 Cr)[Fact] NSE filing₹1,920 Cr (Screener/Arthneeti), ₹3,125.52 Cr (Arthneeti), ₹2,175.52 Cr (EquityBulls) are unsupported by the filing text
2Order book Mar-26~₹1,200 Cr (Ind AS 115 standalone RPO ₹1,194.7 Cr)[Fact]Group RPO ₹3,705.7 Cr includes mining-SPV gross-up (~₹2,511 Cr)
3Implied current order book~₹1,700–1,900 Cr[Est.]Mechanical roll-forward with zero attrition ≈₹2,050 Cr (upper bound)
4Mining revenue~₹357 Cr (~35% of consol.), PAT ₹0.88 Cr (~0.25%)[Fact]PC Patel Mahalaxmi Simplex Consortium (51%), domestic coal-mine MDO — not an overseas subsidiary
5Oman associate exposure~₹1,015 Cr (₹744.9 guarantee + ₹181.2 loan + ₹88.3 advances + ₹0.8 TR)[Fact]vs standalone NW ₹956.3 Cr; associate equity −₹425 Cr. ₹926 Cr figure (narrative) omits advances
6EBITDAStandalone operating ₹54.4 Cr (8.1%); consol. operating ₹55.2 Cr (5.4%)[Fact]/[Est.]Reported standalone "EBITDA" ₹90.0 Cr (13.4%) includes ₹35.6 Cr other income
7Debt (standalone)₹1,646.3 Cr = ₹948.6 sustainable + ₹697.8 unsustainable[Fact]Snap-back to ₹8,046.36 Cr on MRA default; Srei ₹46.16 Cr in default
8Fund-raise₹281.59 Cr received[Fact]₹423.66 Cr headline includes ₹142.1 Cr warrant balance not yet received (due 29-Nov-2026)
9ValuationP/E 43.5–48.6x; P/B 2.0x / 4.7x ex-DTA; EV/op. EBITDA ~40–66x[Est.]See EV matrix, Tab 12
10"Madhusudan Kela 1.21%"Not used as fact[UNVERIFIED]Single aggregator (ScanX); not corroborated by AR/Trendlyne holder lists

Data freshness: market data 13-Oct-2026; financials to Q1 FY27 (results 11-Aug-2026); shareholding Sep-26 quarter; ratings as per AR FY26 (CARE 13-Nov-2025, IVR 22-Sep-2025). Primary AR text was relied on via the five research inputs and the coordinator's verification note; it was not re-grepped for this assembly.

Analyst Notes

One-line read: a post-NARCL-restructuring EPC contractor with genuine operating-margin repair and recovering order inflow, sitting on a low-quality balance sheet that can still unwind, run by a board with documented compliance contradictions, and priced at the richest EV/EBITDA and FY26 P/E in its peer group on the weakest fundamentals. [Analyst View]

What happened. Between March 2024 and March 2025 Simplex went from an insolvent-looking contractor with ₹7,184.5 Cr of standalone debt and negative ex-DTA net worth to a "resolved" company. NARCL bought ~₹5,650 Cr of lender exposure for ₹640 Cr (AR FY25 MD&A), then under the 15-Jan-2025 MRA accepted ₹1,250 Cr of sustainable debt over 7 years plus 15% fully diluted equity; the reinstatement amount on default is ₹8,046.36 Cr (Note 11(D)). ₹4,565.5 Cr of unsustainable debt was written back in FY25 and ₹169.8 Cr in FY26. Those write-backs were almost exactly consumed by write-offs of ~₹5,777 Cr (FY25) and ~₹438 Cr (FY26) of unbilled revenue, claims, receivables, DTA, inventory and plant, so net exceptional gains were only ₹14.3 Cr and ₹0.77 Cr. The restructuring cleaned the balance sheet by netting lender forgiveness against years of uncollectable revenue — which tells you something about the quality of revenue booked before FY25. [Fact]

The real improvement. Operating margin repair is genuine: standalone operating EBITDA went from ₹21.6 Cr (3.0%) in FY25 to ₹54.4 Cr (8.1%) in FY26, and standalone OPM was 12.6% in Q4 FY26 and 13.3% in Q1 FY27. Subcontracting fell from 44.5% to 32.1% of revenue. Finance cost collapsed from ₹755–839 Cr (FY22–23, largely accrued) to ₹12.8 Cr. Fresh equity of ₹281.59 Cr arrived; ₹110 Cr sits in FDs. FY27 YTD inflows of ≈₹1,175 Cr (₹920 Cr + Oil India ₹255.52 Cr, NSE filing 5-Oct-2026) already exceed FY26's ₹529.5 Cr by 2.2x — and came before any rating upgrade. Consolidated Q1 FY27 revenue grew 19.8% to ₹291 Cr. These are real positives. [Fact]

But the top line is not the business. The Q1 FY27 growth came from the PC Patel Mahalaxmi coal-mine MDO SPV (51%), which bills ~₹357 Cr a year at ~0.25% PAT, has no staff of its own and is a pass-through. Standalone revenue — the work Simplex actually executes — fell 2.6% YoY and 18% QoQ in Q1 FY27 to ₹150 Cr, after falling 28% in FY25 and 8% in FY26. Standalone order book shrank from ~₹1,700 Cr to ~₹1,200 Cr in FY26 with ~₹350–475 Cr of unexplained attrition. The FY27 inflows should reverse that, and the implied current book of ~₹1,700–1,900 Cr [Est.] is ~2.5–2.8x TTM standalone revenue — healthy if it is executable, which depends on bank-guarantee lines a D-rated company does not have.

Balance-sheet quality is the core problem. Reported standalone net worth of ₹956.3 Cr includes a ₹559.4 Cr deferred-tax asset (58%) that needs ~₹2,220 Cr of future taxable profit — roughly 45 years at FY26 PBT — and is not being consumed. Ex-DTA net worth is ₹396.9 Cr. Against that sits ~₹1,015 Cr of exposure to the 45% Oman associate (zero revenue, equity −₹425 Cr), defended only by management's view that "expected arbitration claims" cover the ₹744.9 Cr guarantee. Add ₹1,601.6 Cr of receivables, unbilled revenue and retention (~29 months of revenue; ~70% of gross trade receivables older than 3 years), ₹416 Cr of claims, ₹51.7 Cr of unpaid MSME interest and ₹341.9 Cr of disputed taxes. Operating cash flow (₹176 Cr FY25, ₹107 Cr FY26) came from liquidating working capital, not from ₹54 Cr of core EBITDA, and DSCR is 0.28x.

The restructuring can unwind. ₹697.8 Cr of "unsustainable" debt is still carried; on MRA default NARCL can reinstate ₹8,046.36 Cr plus interest. Ratings remain CARE D / IVR D; Srei Equipment Finance's ₹46.16 Cr has been in default >365 days, and the chairman's "by September 2026" settlement is unconfirmed as of 13-Oct-2026, putting the "by January 2027" upgrade at risk. The FY27 current maturity is only ₹63.8 Cr, so near-term liquidity is fine; the risk is the back-ended ₹1,012 Cr beyond 4 years and the dependence on arbitration recoveries that are hypothecated to NARCL anyway.

Governance contradictions. On the same day (28-May-2026) the practising company secretary certified four of eight directors (three independents and one NED) "in violation of Section 164", while the statutory auditor certified none disqualified. Two of those independents were re-appointed for second terms on 22-Apr-2026. Board's Reports in FY25 and FY26 stated there were no audit qualifications when there were. The auditor is a sole proprietorship auditing a ₹3,700 Cr balance sheet with Middle East operations. The CFO sits on the Audit Committee; there is no MD/CEO.

What the market is pricing. At ₹249 the stock trades at 43.5x TTM earnings (48.6x FY26), 2.0x reported book (4.7x ex-DTA) and ~40–66x EV/operating EBITDA. In a ten-company EPC peer set it is the most expensive on EV/EBITDA (even its most generous basis, ~30x, exceeds the next-highest, Cemindia at 20.2x) and on FY26 P/E (48.6x vs Afcons 35.9x); on TTM P/E it is level with Afcons (43.9x). NCC, KEC, PNC, JKIL and Capacite trade at 4–16x P/E and 4–8x EV/EBITDA; the four peers with P/B in our inputs (PNC 0.55x, Capacite 0.77x, NCC 0.98x, JKIL 1.0x) sit at roughly half Simplex's 2.0x. The market is valuing an option on rating normalisation, order-book rebuild and claims monetisation. Yet the smart-money anchor is ₹289–294 (Quant MF, NARCL, ICICI, preferential allottees) and the stock is ~14% below it; 65.56 lakh warrants worth ₹142.1 Cr at ₹289 expire 29-Nov-2026 out of the money.

What would change my mind. Positively: Srei settlement + CARE/IVR upgrade by Q4 FY27, warrant exercise (especially promoter Ajay Merchants' ₹37.5 Cr), standalone revenue growth visible in Q2–Q3 FY27, and any cash recovery on Oman arbitration. Negatively: lapse of warrants, slippage of the rating timeline, further write-offs netted against debt write-backs, or any step toward crystallisation of the Oman guarantee. [Analyst View]

Thesis map

ThemeEvidenceDirection
Debt resolved at deep haircutNARCL paid ₹640 Cr for ~₹5,650 Cr; sustainable debt ₹1,250 Cr → ₹948.6 Cr outstanding; 99.55% of debt settled/restructuredPositive
Fresh equity₹281.59 Cr received; ₹108.71 Cr in PNB FDs; ₹142.1 Cr warrant money pendingPositive
Margin repairStandalone op. EBITDA 3.0% → 8.1%; Q1 FY27 standalone OPM 13.3%Positive
Order inflowsFY27 YTD ≈₹1,175 Cr vs FY26 ₹529.5 Cr; Oil India ₹255.52 Cr drillingPositive
Core revenueStandalone −28% FY25, −8% FY26, −2.6% Q1 FY27Negative
Balance-sheet qualityDTA 58% of NW; Oman ~₹1,015 Cr > NW; ₹1,601.6 Cr contract assets/receivablesNegative
Restructuring reversibility₹8,046.36 Cr snap-back; ₹697.8 Cr unsustainable debt on books; DSCR 0.28xNegative
RatingsCARE D / IVR D; upgrade targeted Jan-2027Pending
GovernanceSec 164 certificate conflict; Board's Report misstatements; proprietor auditorNegative
ValuationRichest in peer set on EV/EBITDA and FY26 P/E (TTM P/E level with Afcons); 2.0x P/B vs 0.55–1.0x for the four peers with P/B dataNegative

Business Deep-Dive

Disclosure note. Simplex reports a single operating segment (Ind AS 108, "construction/project activities") and does not disclose segment revenue/EBITDA, top-customer concentration, named suppliers, equipment counts, patents or capacity. CARE/Infomerics ratings have been "Issuer Not Cooperating" since 2023. Proxies below are built from revenue-stream notes, Ind AS 115 RPO and the MD&A order-book mix and are labelled.

Company fact sheet

ItemDetail
Incorporated1924, Kolkata (CIN L45209WB1924PLC004969)
Track record"Over 3,000 projects" (Board's report) vs "over 2,600 completed projects" (MD&A) — internally inconsistent
People561 permanent on rolls (Annexure-1, 31-Mar-26); 1,166 total workforce; 726 reported for 31-Mar-25 (basis differs across sections). Employee cost +11% in FY26; no increments for non-managerial staff FY25/FY26; median remuneration +37.2% FY26 after −7% FY25
CertificationsISO 9001:2015 (letterhead; website); ISO 45001:2018 (website). No ISO 14001 listed
Patents / R&DNo patents; R&D spend NIL (Annexure-4). IP = process know-how
OfficesKolkata HQ; Delhi (Hemkunth, Nehru Place; Vaikunth Bldg flats 204/207/209 held in sellers' names since 1984–97); Mumbai; Navi Mumbai Vashi flat held in name of Amitabh Das Mundhra on company's behalf; Chennai (Chetpet)
Overseas (CARE Nov-2025)Saudi Arabia, Bangladesh, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, Ethiopia, Sri Lanka; Oman associate; Libya JV (dormant)

Services — vertical by vertical

VerticalWhat Simplex doesRepresentative workMar-26 book share
Ground engineering / piling (legacy core)Bored cast-in-situ, driven and precast piles, diaphragm walls, deep foundations for power, bridges, towers, buildings, portsFY26 win: piling for overhead transmission line, Jeddah, Saudi Arabiawithin sectors
Power — generation civil & transmissionTall RCC chimneys and cooling towers (slipform); ACC columns; CW pump houses/forebays; WTP; BoP civil and prefab steel; pipe conveyors; EHV line foundations and tower erection; substationsFY26: chimney packages NTPC Nabinagar STPP Stage-II (3x800 MW, Bihar) and Gadarwara STPP Stage-II (2x800 MW, MP). FY25: Adani Power Raigarh Ph-II (2x800 MW) BoP civil + prefab steel. NTPC North Karanpura (3x660 MW): 7.5 km double-line pipe conveyor; ACC hollow columns 5.4 m dia x 54.8 m. 765 kV Anpara D–Jhusi line. Completed FY25: Godda TPP; NTPC Tandwa barrage & intake36%
Roads & bridgesEPC highways, flyovers, major bridges (I-girder launching with in-house gantries), CTSB pavements, pavement markingFY25: 2 flyovers on NH-34 (Omarpur & Dhulian junctions, WB); descoped Binnaguri bypass NH-27 (old NH-31D), Ch. 17.5–23.0 km. Completed FY25: Bijni–WB border road (Assam)29%
Industrial structuresCivil/structural packages for steel, cement, refinery, petchem, fertiliser plants; PEB; warehousesNot named in AR2613%
Building & housingHigh-rise residential, mass housing (tunnel-form), hospitals, campuses, commercialFY26: civil works Raheja Solaris 2B (balance qty, Maharashtra). Completed: DDA HIG Dwarka (FY26); Raniganj rehab housing, Asansol (FY25); Govt Medical College Jhargram (WBSCL)13%
Urban infrastructureMetro viaducts/stations, elevated corridors, water supply, sewerageCompleted FY26: Bangalore Metro Reach-3 (Manjunath Nagar–BIEC); Ahmedabad Metro Ph-I (8.9 km, 6 stations); Bilaspur sewerage; Habra–Gaighata water supply. FY25: Goa sewerage (Mapusa)9%
RailwaysBridges, track civil, stations; claims pioneering automatic track-laying; metro/light rail in Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, Bangalore—Insignificant
MarineJetties, berths, quay walls, breakwaters; ports since 1968: Goa, Haldia, Vizag, Kochi, Mundra, Mumbai, Paradip, Adani, Dahej—Insignificant
Mining services (MDO) via PC Patel Mahalaxmi Simplex Consortium Pvt Ltd (51%)Domestic coal-mine development & operation contract billed through the SPV. Consolidated employee cost equals standalone exactly (₹108.4 Cr FY26), finance cost equal, D&A differs by ~₹0.1 Cr → SPV has no staff, fleet or debt; work performed by partner/subcontractors [INFERRED]₹357.3 Cr revenue FY26 (~35% of consol.), PAT ₹0.88 Cr; SPV assets ₹239.3 Cr; mine and client not disclosedOutside standalone book (~₹2,511 Cr of group RPO)
Oil drilling servicesOnshore drilling with owned 2,000 HP rig; electric top drive TDS-11SA imported 2024Revenue ₹6.2 Cr FY26 (₹14.2 FY25; ₹20.3 FY24). 5-Oct-2026: Oil India drilling contract ≈₹255.52 Cr [Fact]. 14-May-2025: JV with Breitling Drilling Pvt Ltd (Deep Industries subsidiary), Breitling 74% / Simplex 26% (DSIJ); whether Oil India work runs through the JV is [UNVERIFIED]New FY27
Equipment hire / trading / scrapHiring out idle plant; small traded goods₹22.5 Cr FY26—

How they do it — process and technology

Operating model

  • Item-rate/EPC contracts executed at client sites; own heavy equipment and site engineers mobilised.
  • Large share subcontracted: subcontractor charges 44.2% (FY24), 44.5% (FY25), 32.1% (FY26) of standalone revenue.
  • Materials bought per project (steel, cement, aggregates, RMC, bitumen, structural steel); PSU clients sometimes supply free-issue materials [INFERRED].
  • Overseas work run as foreign branches inside the standalone entity (FCTR ₹132 Cr).
  • MD&A cites "asset-light operations" yet FY26 PPE additions were ₹47.9 Cr (P&E ₹43.9 Cr).

Technologies cited (Annexure-4)

  • Slipform design for 42 m base-dia x 275 m RCC chimney; slipform ACC hollow columns.
  • In-house lattice girders/overhead gantries to launch 28 m and 32 m I-girders.
  • Cement-treated sub-base (CTSB) instead of GSB.
  • Line-laser continuous spray pavement marking, 3–4 km/day.
  • GPS + fuel monitoring; site "petro-cards" against diesel pilferage.
  • Top-drive drilling on oil rigs; tunnel-form mass housing.
  • Captive crushers with energy-efficient motors; solar lighting masts; grid power replacing gensets.

Facilities and equipment (no manufacturing plants)

Asset31-Mar-26 (₹ Cr)Note
Plant & equipment — gross904.8Net 231.6; tools ₹10.4 Cr
P&E written off FY25614.7 gross (~188.9 net)Obsolete/idle fleet; further ₹43.95 Cr gross written off FY26
Capex FY2647.9 (P&E 43.9)vs 30.7 FY25; capital advances ₹12.1 Cr — fleet rebuilding
Freehold land / buildings (net)4.65 / 5.26Offices and flats
Total net PPE251.5Pledged; MRA mortgages unencumbered immovables
Equipment hire expense28.2 (FY25 20.0)+41% — renting more than owning

Fleet counts (piling rigs, cranes, batching plants, slipform sets, gantries, rigs) are not quantified in any accessible filing; the 2019 corporate presentation could not be parsed.

Geographic footprint and export intensity

₹ CrFY24FY25FY26
Foreign exchange earned63.285.3183.5
% of standalone revenue [Est.]6.3%11.7%27.4%
Foreign exchange used50.669.9100.6

India: WB, Jharkhand, Bihar, MP, Chhattisgarh, UP, Assam, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Delhi, Goa. The Middle East is the fastest-growing geography (Jeddah transmission piling).

Overseas and group entities

EntityStakeStatus (FY26)
Simplex (Middle East) Ltd, UAE100%Holding vehicle; assets ₹8.7 Cr; nil turnover; loss ₹0.2 Cr; parent of Simplex (Bangladesh) Pvt Ltd (95%, dormant; ₹4.7 Cr ICD to parent)
Simplex Infrastructures LLC, Oman45% associateZero revenue FY25/FY26; equity −₹424.95 Cr; FY26 loss ₹59.8 Cr; liabilities ₹2,050.8 Cr vs assets ₹1,625.8 Cr. Simplex exposure ~₹1,015 Cr
Simplex Almoayyed WLL, Bahrain49% JVRevenue ₹31.6 Cr (₹20.1), PAT ₹5.8 Cr (₹3.1); paid dividend; only profitable overseas vehicle; share of profit ₹2.83 Cr
Simplex Infrastructures Libya JV Co.65%Dormant since 2011; net assets −₹5.7 Cr
Arabian Construction Co–Simplex Infra Pvt Ltd50% JVDormant
Simplex Infra Development Pvt Ltd (SIDPL)100%Holds dormant BOT SPVs Maa Durga Expressways, Jaintia Highway; ₹83.4 Cr owed by Simplex to SIDPL

USP and moat

Real but eroding: a century of technical pre-qualifications in niches (tall chimneys, slipform, deep piling, marine) — evidenced by the NTPC Nabinagar/Gadarwara chimney wins. The binding constraint is financial PQ, bank guarantees and the D rating, which management itself says suppress its bid success rate. The know-how is replicable by Cemindia, Afcons and L&T. [Analyst View]

Segment Analysis

Company reports one segment. The proxy below is built from consolidated Note 19 revenue streams (AR FY25/FY26).

Consolidated revenue by stream (₹ Cr)

StreamFY24FY25FY26YoY FY25YoY FY26FY26 mix
EPC contract turnover954.1692.2634.8−27.5%−8.3%62.2%
Mining services (MDO SPV, pass-through)387.2353.1357.3−8.8%+1.2%35.0%
Oil drilling services20.314.26.2−30.0%−56.7%0.6%
Traded goods3.40.60.5——0.05%
Other operating (hire, misc, scrap, bad-debt recovery)23.415.522.5−34%+45%2.2%
Total1,388.51,075.61,021.2−22.5%−5.1%100%

Standalone revenue: ₹1,011.0 Cr (FY24) → ₹731.3 Cr (FY25, −27.7%) → ₹670.2 Cr (FY26, −8.4%); standalone contract turnover ₹701.0 → ₹641.0 Cr; oil drilling ₹14.2 → ₹6.2 Cr; other operating ₹16.1 → ₹23.0 Cr. Standalone contract turnover includes ₹6.2 Cr (FY26) / ₹8.8 Cr (FY25) billed to the mining SPV, eliminated on consolidation.

EBITDA proxy (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY24FY25FY26
Standalone EBITDA as reported (incl. other income)45.674.590.0
Standalone other income17.852.935.6
Standalone operating EBITDA ≈ EPC + drilling27.9 (2.8%)21.6 (3.0%)54.4 (8.1%)
Consolidated EBITDA reported (incl. OI)46.275.790.3
Consolidated operating EBITDA28.2 (2.0%)22.7 (2.1%)55.2 (5.4%)
Mining SPV PAT (PBT)n.a.0.980.88 (1.18)
Implied mining EBITDA (consol. core − SA core) [Est.]~0.3~1.1~0.8
Board's report "EBITDA margin 13.4%" (FY26) is inflated by other income (interest ₹22.4 Cr on deposits funded by the equity raise). FY26 standalone operating EBITDA still bears ₹10.4 Cr bad debts + ₹6.5 Cr ECL. Consolidated margin understates the core because ~₹350 Cr of pass-through revenue carries ~zero EBITDA.

Latest quarter (Q1 FY27, Jun-26)

₹ CrQ1 FY26Q1 FY27YoY
Standalone revenue154150−2.6%
Standalone operating profit (OPM)7 (4.5%)20 (13.3%)~3x
Standalone PAT410+150%
Consolidated revenue243291+19.8%
Consolidated OP (OPM)8 (3.1%)21 (7.2%)+163%
Consolidated PAT511 (₹10.4 Cr)+120%
Implied non-standalone (≈ mining SPV) revenue [Est.]89141+58%

Order book by sector

SectorFY25 %FY25 ₹ Cr [Est.]FY26 %FY26 ₹ Cr [Est.]Change
Power — transmission / generation2034036432+27%
Roads & bridges2034029348+2%
Building & housing2440813156−62%
Industrial structures2237413156−58%
Urban infrastructure132219108−51%
Railways / marineinsig.—insig.——
Headline book100~1,700100~1,200−29%

Fastest grower

Overseas / Middle East work: forex earnings 2.2x in FY26 to 27% of standalone revenue. Power transmission/generation up ~27% in the book [Est.]. Oil drilling resets with the ₹255.52 Cr Oil India award. The mining SPV's +58% Q1 growth is gross-up revenue with negligible profit.

Under pressure

Domestic EPC contract turnover (−33% over FY24–26); oil drilling (−70% FY24–26 before the new award). In the book: building & housing (−62%), industrial (−58%), urban (−51%).

Management's stated focus: "profitable and sustainable growth rather than volume-led expansion, with selective bidding and preference for projects offering better margins, shorter execution tenures and favourable risk-return profiles" (FY26 Chairman). No segment-level numeric guidance is given.

Financials: P&L

Consolidated five-year P&L (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26TTM Jun-26
Revenue from operations2,0471,8741,3881,075.61,021.21,070
YoY growth−7.0%−8.5%−25.9%−22.5%−5.1%+5%
"Gross profit" (contribution)*n.a.n.a.n.a.288.4347.0n.a.
Gross margin–––26.8%34.0%–
Operating EBITDA (excl. OI)14123022.755.268
EBITDA margin0.7%0.6%2.2%2.1%5.4%6.4%
Other income44881653.135.132
EBITDA incl. OI581004675.790.3100
Depreciation105867054.829.230
Finance cost7558398015.012.812
EBIT**−4614−2322.563.9–
EBIT margin−2.2%0.7%−1.7%2.1%6.3%–
Exceptional items (net)–––+14.3+0.8–
PBT−801−825−10321.751.959
PBT margin−39.1%−44.0%−7.4%2.0%5.1%5.5%
PAT−527−471−7212.140.446
PAT to owners––−72.311.640.0–
PAT margin−25.7%−25.1%−5.2%1.1%4.0%4.3%
EPS (₹)−92.42−82.41−12.652.025.205.80

*Revenue − materials − traded goods − ΔWIP − subcontract; site overheads sit in other expenses, so a contribution margin. **PBT pre-exceptional + finance cost; includes JV/associate share (FY26 ₹2.8 Cr; FY25 ₹1.5 Cr). FY22–FY23 interest of ₹755–839 Cr was largely accrued and unpaid; accrual stopped after the 31-Mar-2024 MRA cut-off; Q4 FY24 included a −₹263 Cr interest reversal. Sources: FY24–26 AR; FY22–23 and TTM Screener.

Revenue, ₹ Cr — consolidated (dark) vs standalone (gold) 2,0471,736FY22 1,8741,547FY23 1,3881,011FY24 1,076731FY25 1,021670FY26 Gap between bars FY26 ≈ ₹351 Cr = PC Patel Mahalaxmi mining pass-through

Standalone five-year P&L — the core EPC business (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue from operations1,7361,5471,010.9731.3670.2
— Contract turnover–––701.0641.0
— Oil drilling services–––14.26.2
— Other operating revenue–––16.123.0
Gross profit (contribution)n.a.n.a.360.7287.1345.9
Gross margin––35.7%39.3%51.6%
Employee cost––109.697.3108.4
Other expenses––223.2168.2183.1
Operating EBITDA402127.921.654.4
EBITDA margin2.3%1.4%2.8%3.0%8.1%
Other income94117.852.935.6
EBITDA incl. OI (Board's Report)496245.674.590.0
D&A1048569.154.329.1
Finance cost74683780.015.512.8
EBIT−55−23−23.520.260.9
EBIT margin−3.2%−1.5%−2.3%2.8%9.1%
Exceptional–––14.30.8
PBT−801−860−103.519.048.9
Tax––−31.69.311.2
PAT−526−506−71.99.637.7
PAT margin−30.3%−32.7%−7.1%1.3%5.6%
EPS (₹)−92.10−88.59−12.581.684.90

EBITDA reconciliation (FY26)

Basis₹ CrMarginUse
Standalone reported "EBITDA" (Board's Report)90.013.4%Includes ₹35.6 Cr other income — do not use for valuation
Standalone operating EBITDA54.48.1%Core EPC economics
Consolidated reported EBITDA90.38.8%Includes ₹35.1 Cr OI
Consolidated operating EBITDA55.25.4%Valuation base (FY26)
Consolidated TTM Jun-26 operating EBITDA686.4%Valuation base (TTM)

Exceptional items — gross amounts behind the near-zero net

FY25 (₹ Cr)Amount
Write-back: unsustainable debt4,565.5
Write-back: trade payables580.1
Write-back: other financial liabilities252.4
Write-back: other current liabilities209.0
Write-back: interest accrued184.3
Write-off: unbilled revenue(2,962.6)
Write-off: claims recoverable(1,099.8)
Write-off: trade receivables(509.1)
Write-off: DTA(384.3)
Write-off: inventory(210.7)
Write-off: PPE(191.1)
Write-off: retention(147.9)
Write-off: other current assets(140.6)
Write-off: accrued interest(81.0)
Others(~50)
Net exceptional gain14.3
FY26 (₹ Cr)Amount
Write-back: unsustainable debt169.8
Write-back: interest134.2
Write-back: trade payables108.7
Write-back: other liabilities26.1
Write-off: unbilled revenue (gross ₹298.8 less ECL release ₹72.2)(226.6)
Write-off: claims(88.6)
Write-off: trade receivables(87.3)
Write-off: retention(24.8)
Write-off: PPE(8.2)
Write-off: inventory(2.3)
Net exceptional gain0.77

Last 8 quarters — consolidated (₹ Cr, Screener)

QuarterRevenueYoYQoQOp. EBITDAOPMOther inc.PBTPATResult date / note
Q2 FY25 (Sep-24)268−14.1%−9.5%31.1%4−14−11pre-MRA
Q3 FY25 (Dec-24)230−27.2%−14.2%41.6%3−11−11MRA signed 15-Jan-25
Q4 FY25 (Mar-25)282−21.9%+22.6%155.3%525843One-off OI; Q4 FY24 PAT ₹164 Cr had ₹263 Cr interest reversal
Q1 FY26 (Jun-25)243−17.9%−13.8%83.1%108513-Aug-25
Q2 FY26 (Sep-25)248−7.5%+2.1%166.0%1013914-Nov-25
Q3 FY26 (Dec-25)248+7.8%0.0%104.1%1816813-Feb-26; OI ~2x op. profit
Q4 FY26 (Mar-26)283+0.4%+14.1%217.6%2151928/29-May-26; tax write-back lifts PAT
Q1 FY27 (Jun-26)291+19.8%+2.8%217.2%3151111-Aug-26
Q2 FY27 (Sep-26)Not yet reported as of 13-Oct-2026 (trading window closed 25-Sep-2026; results expected ~mid-Nov 2026)

Year-ago comparators: revenue Jun-23 399; Sep-23 312; Dec-23 316; Mar-24 361; Jun-24 296. Operating EBITDA 11, 6, 9, 1, 1. Q4 FY26 OPM: 7.6% used (Screener); narrative source showed 8.0% — rounding/basis difference.

Last 8 quarters — standalone (₹ Cr)

QuarterRevenueYoYQoQOp. EBITDAOPMPAT
Q2 FY25196−20.6%−2.0%31.4%−11
Q3 FY25139−38.5%−29.1%32.4%−12
Q4 FY25197−11.7%+41.7%157.6%43
Q1 FY26154−23.0%−21.8%74.5%4
Q2 FY26164−16.3%+6.5%169.8%8
Q3 FY26170+22.3%+3.7%95.3%5
Q4 FY26183−7.1%+7.6%2312.6%20
Q1 FY27150−2.6%−18.0%2013.3%10
Operating margin by quarter — standalone (gold) vs consolidated (dark) 0%6%10% 13.3%7.2% Q2F25Q3F25Q4F25Q1F26Q2F26Q3F26Q4F26Q1F27

Reading the trend

Earnings-quality check. Profits are cash-backed only via working-capital liquidation: OCF/PAT 18.3x (FY25) and 2.8x (FY26), but most of the contract-asset decline was write-off, not cash (unbilled revenue fell ₹333.9 Cr of which ₹298.8 Cr was written off; only ~₹35 Cr net reduction). Interest income (₹22.3 Cr received) is classified in investing CF while sitting in PAT. Screener flags "possible capitalisation of interest". See Tab 6.

Financials: Balance Sheet, Cash Flow & Ratios

Standalone balance sheet (₹ Cr; 31-Mar)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Net fixed assets (PPE+intangibles+CWIP)627532463.9239.1251.5
Goodwillnilnilnilnilnil
Investments (mostly SIDPL ₹83.4 Cr)898787.087.087.0
Deferred tax asset (net)n.a.n.a.952.9562.6559.4
Inventoriesn.a.n.a.292.797.9105.8
Trade receivables (net)~1,322~1,2881,261.6588.3436.5
Contract assets (unbilled + retention, net)n.a.n.a.~4,6871,478.51,165.1
Claims recoverable (net)n.a.n.a.n.a.547.5414.9
Loans (Oman associate)n.a.n.a.184.1183.1183.3
Cash & equivalentsn.a.n.a.53.777.350.1
Other bank balances (FDs, margin, escrow)n.a.n.a.4.65.8128.7
Total assets9,68010,27210,273.14,173.93,715.9
Total debt5,2845,9897,184.52,178.81,646.3
Trade payablesn.a.n.a.1,351.2660.5467.4
Net worth769286218.0508.1956.3
Net worth ex-DTAn.a.n.a.−734.9−54.5396.9
Book value/share (₹)134.650.138.275.6120.9
BV/share ex-DTA (₹)n.a.n.a.neg.neg.50.2

Shares: 5.714 Cr to FY24, 6.723 Cr FY25, 7.910 Cr FY26. FY22–23 receivables derived from Screener debtor days; FY24 contract assets derived from FY25 KAM (UR+TR+retention ₹5,948.5 Cr less TR). Retained earnings −₹1,118.4 Cr; standalone NW = share capital ₹15.9 Cr + other equity ₹940.5 Cr (incl. ₹47.4 Cr warrant money).

Gross vs ECL (₹ Cr)FY26FY25
Unbilled revenue gross / ECL1,112.1 / 129.91,446.0 / 188.9
Retention gross / ECL220.4 / 37.5257.9 / n.a.
Trade receivables gross / ECL502.3 / 65.8669.1 / 80.8
Claims gross416.4549.0
Total ECL301.2374.9 (FY24 647.9)
Statutory advances (govt)159.8–
TR ageing Mar-26 (gross ₹502.3 Cr)Total>3 yrs
Undisputed248.2112.7
Disputed254.2242.6
Total502.3355.3 (~70%)
Trade payables >3 yrs (others / MSE)—151.8 / 28.2

Consolidated balance sheet (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Fixed assets (incl. CWIP)629533465239.5251.8
Inventoriesn.a.n.a.n.a.97.9105.8
Trade receivablesn.a.n.a.n.a.647.0522.5
Cash + other bank balancesn.a.n.a.n.a.118.5181.4
Total debt5,3545,9847,1802,174.41,641.6
Net worth (owners)749300231523.8975.4
NCI–––1.82.7
Total assets9,86810,37310,4144,338.93,880.9

Consolidated also carries other non-current financial liabilities ₹126.7 Cr and non-current other financial assets ₹148.2 Cr. Consolidated accumulated losses ₹1,095.9 Cr; holding-company receivables/unbilled/retention ₹1,686.74 Cr (consolidated KAM basis).

Cash flow — standalone (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
PAT−526−506−71.99.637.7
Operating profit before WC changen.a.n.a.74.840.880.8
Working-capital changen.a.n.a.−191.7+141.0+35.2
Tax (paid)/refundn.a.n.a.+37.1−5.6−9.0
OCF−454−348−79.8176.2106.9
Capex (gross)~14~2110.330.857.1
FCF−440−327−90.1145.449.8
OCF / PATn.m.n.m.n.m.18.3x2.8x
FCF yield on mcap ₹1,964 Cr––−4.6%7.4%2.5%
Term deposits placed––––−125.3
Equity + warrant money raised––––281.6
Short-term borrowings, net––+121.5−124.3−255.3
Finance cost paid in cash––38.23.27.0

Cash flow — consolidated (₹ Cr)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
OCF−447−432−83207.974.4
Capexn.a.n.a.n.a.30.857.2
FCFn.a.n.a.n.a.177.117.2
FCF yield (current mcap)–––9.0%0.9%
Investing CF222062−23.6−156.9
Financing CF40425983−127.418.7

PAT vs OCF divergence — FY26 contract-asset movement (gross, ₹ Cr)

ItemBalance changeWritten off (exceptional)Net reduction ex write-offs
Trade receivables−166.887.3 net (88.5 gross)~78 (CF line +75.9)
Unbilled revenue−333.9298.8 gross (226.6 net)~35 only
Claims recoverable−132.688.6~44
Retention−37.531.0 gross (24.8 net)~6.5
  1. FY22–FY24: OCF −₹348 to −₹454 Cr per year even before interest — the business burned ~₹350–450 Cr a year, funded by unpaid lenders and stretched creditors (Screener payable days >1,100).
  2. FY25: OCF ₹176 Cr vs PAT ₹9.6 Cr = WC liquidation (receivables +₹129.1 Cr, other assets +₹68.8 Cr, creditors −₹57.2 Cr); PAT included ₹25.2 Cr PPE gain and ₹14.3 Cr net exceptional.
  3. FY26: OCF ₹106.9 Cr vs PAT ₹37.7 Cr: D&A ₹29.1, ECL/bad debts ₹17.0, receivables +₹75.9, other assets +₹81.4, offset by creditor paydown −₹76.4 and other liabilities −₹32.1.
  4. Consolidated FY26 OCF (₹74.4 Cr) below standalone (₹106.9 Cr): subsidiaries absorbed WC (receivables +₹48.5 Cr).

Working capital (standalone; days on revenue)

DaysFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Debtor days (net TR)278*304*455294238
Contract-asset daysn.a.n.a.~1,692738635
Inventory days (on revenue)n.a.n.a.1064958
Inventory days (Screener, cost)297270524301355
Creditor days (on revenue)n.a.n.a.488330255
Creditor days (Screener, cost)1,1471,2542,4212,0291,568
CCC incl. contract assetsn.a.n.a.~1,765751676
CCC (Screener, excl. contract assets)−572−680−1,441−1,435−975
Screener working-capital days−128−313−494572742
Consolidated debtor days (Screener)245268354220187
Screener's negative CCC is misleading: it ignores unbilled revenue, retention and claims. Net receivables + contract assets = ₹1,601.6 Cr ≈ 29 months of FY26 revenue; gross incl. claims ~₹2,251 Cr ≈ 40 months. Consolidated WC days 518 (Screener). Claims and arbitration awards are hypothecated to NARCL's security trustee; no project-by-project arbitration list is disclosed.

Ratios

RatioFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26Basis
RoE (PAT/avg equity)−51%−96%−29%2.6%5.2%SA
RoE consolidated–––3.1%5.3% (Screener 5.1%)Consol.
RoCE (EBIT/avg equity+debt)−0.9%−0.4%−0.3%0.4%2.3% (Screener 2.4%)SA
Gross D/E6.9x20.9x33.0x4.29x1.72xSA
Net D/E (company definition)–––4.14x1.76xSA (consol. reported 1.71x)
Net D/E incl. FDs–––4.12x1.53xcomputed
Net D/E on ex-DTA equityn.m.n.m.n.m.neg.3.70xcomputed
Interest coverage (EBIT/finance cost)<0<0<01.3x4.8xn.m. — debt rate "N.A."
DSCR–––0.20x0.28xSA AR Note 45 (consol. 0.29x)
Current ratio––0.87x1.84x2.35xAR
Asset turnover0.18x0.16x0.10x0.10x0.17xSA
Fixed-asset turnover2.5x2.7x2.0x2.1x2.7xSA
Trade receivables turnover–––0.71x1.14xAR
Net capital turnover–––−17.690.48AR

Debt composition (standalone)

Item (₹ Cr)Mar-26Mar-25
Secured TL from financial companies (NARCL MRA; incl. current maturities 63.8 / 201.1)1,367.71,525.0
Unsecured TL from financial companies195.4289.5
NCDs (GIC and others; Series I–III)035.0
Rupee TL from banks07.5 NC + 63.3 current
Foreign-currency TL (Bank Muscat; assignment of overseas receivables)5.835.3
Secured TL, current — Srei (in default)40.040.0
Working-capital loans repayable on demand32.6178.8
ICD from Simplex (Bangladesh) Pvt Ltd4.74.4
Total borrowings1,646.32,178.8
of which MRA sustainable debt outstanding948.6–
of which unsustainable debt retained (incl. non-assigned lenders)697.8–
Interest accrued on borrowings9.2142.6

~98% is term debt (essentially NARCL book); WC/CC only ₹32.6 Cr. FY26 fixed/floating split blank in Note 27 (FY25: 99.66% fixed). Finance cost FY26 ₹12.8 Cr = interest ₹6.7 Cr + other borrowing costs ₹6.1 Cr.

Standalone debt (₹ Cr) vs NARCL snap-back amount Reinstatement on default ₹8,046 Cr 5,284FY22 5,989FY23 7,185FY24 2,179FY25 1,646FY26 FY26: gold = sustainable ₹948.6 Cr; brown = unsustainable ₹697.8 Cr (write-back on MRA completion)

Restructuring history (MRA / OTS)

DateEvent
~FY20 onwardDefaults on bank/FI facilities; RBI-framework restructuring attempts failed; lead bank PNB took case to NARCL
6-May-2023NCLT Kolkata rejected Central Bank of India's Sec 7 petition, citing temporary cash-flow stress and ~₹554 Cr arbitration awards receivable
28-Mar-2024Deed of Assignment: lenders with 85.44% of debt assign to NARCL (cut-off 31-Mar-2024); NARCL paid ₹640 Cr for ~₹5,650.37 Cr of fund/non-fund exposure (AR FY25 MD&A); IDRCL service agent
15-Jan-2025MRA signed (effective 28-Mar-2024): sustainable debt ₹1,250 Cr over 7 years; NARCL 15% fully diluted equity; promoters pledge 11% FD equity until exit; company to raise ≥₹100 Cr preferential
28-Mar-2025NARCL conversion 1,00,84,027 sh @ ₹281.36 (₹283.72 Cr debt)
31-Mar-2025MRA implemented; ₹4,565.5 Cr unsustainable debt written back (FY25)
2-Apr-2025NCD holders paid ₹20 Cr (OTS)
22-Jul-2025ICICI Bank OTS: 10,00,000 sh @ ₹294 (₹29.4 Cr debt converted)
FY26₹169.8 Cr further unsustainable debt written back; 99.55% of debt settled/restructured
Sep-2026 (target)Last non-assigned lender (<0.5%; Srei ₹46.16 Cr) — closure not verified as of 13-Oct-2026

Additional MRA security: mortgage of unencumbered immovables; hypothecation of arbitration-award and conciliation receivables, disputed claims, specific investments; existing pari-passu charges. On default NARCL may revoke the MRA and reinstate the "assigned outstanding debt amount of ₹8,046.36 Cr" (Note 11(D)) less amounts repaid/converted, plus interest at last sanction terms. Debenture trustee: Vistra ITCL (no NCDs outstanding at Mar-26).

Note: two different "assigned" figures appear in the sources — ~₹5,650.37 Cr of fund/non-fund exposure NARCL acquired for ₹640 Cr (AR FY25 MD&A) and the ₹8,046.36 Cr reinstatement amount (AR FY26 Note 11(D)). The inputs do not reconcile the gap (it may reflect accrued interest, non-fund exposure or a different measurement date); it is not estimated here.

CARO FY25 defaults (Mar-25)₹ Cr
GIC (NCDs)24.84
IndusInd Bank TL / WC interest87.98 / 60.45
Federal Bank12.81
Srei Equipment Finance46.16
Bank Muscat (FCTL)53.49
Lakshmi Vilas Bank (WC)10.97
Mar-26: only Srei remains (₹40.02 + ₹6.14 int.)46.16
Maturity (contractual)Mar-26Mar-25
<1 year147.0565.4
1–2 years59.020.0
2–4 years427.9483.9
>4 years1,012.41,109.5
Total1,646.32,178.8

Credit ratings (AR FY26 CG report)

InstrumentAgency₹ CrRatingLatest action
Long-term bank facilitiesCARE2,675.40CARE DReaffirmed 13-Nov-2025 (earlier 19-Nov-2024, 23-Nov-2023)
Long/short-term bank facilitiesCARE7,900.00CARE D / D13-Nov-2025
NCDs Series I–IIICARE495.00CARE D13-Nov-2025
Long-term bank facilitiesInfomerics2,600.00IVR D22-Sep-2025 (PR dated 24-Sep-2025; earlier 9-Sep-2024, 29-Aug-2023)
Short-term fund-basedInfomerics75.00IVR D22-Sep-2025

"Issuer Not Cooperating" status per business input. CRISIL/ICRA/India Ratings: not rated. A CARE PDF with 07-May-2026 metadata may be a later action — content not extractable [UNVERIFIED]. Chairman expects upgrade "by January 2027" after Sep-2026 final settlement + 3-month cooling.

Equity dilution / share-count history

DateEventSharesPrice ₹ConsiderationPost-issue
to Mar-2025Base–––5,71,42,820
28-Mar-2025Debt→equity NARCL (15% FD)1,00,84,027281.36₹283.72 Cr debt6,72,26,847
29-May-2025Preferential equity, non-promoters72,39,447289₹209.22 Cr cash
29-May-2025Debt→equity NARCL top-up25,91,000289₹74.88 Cr debt
29-May-2025Convertible warrants (promoter group + non-promoters)74,20,935 w28925% upfront ₹53.62 Cr (total ₹214.47 Cr)
21-Jul-2025Warrant conversion (non-promoter; Quant MF)8,65,052289₹18.75 Cr balance (₹25 Cr total)
22-Jul-2025OTS conversion ICICI Bank10,00,000294₹29.40 Cr debt
22-Jul-2025Debt→equity NARCL top-up1,73,000294₹5.09 Cr debt7,90,95,346
by 29-Nov-2026Outstanding warrants (₹216.75 each due)65,55,883 w289~₹142.1 Cr potential8,56,51,229 FD
Share count (Cr) — +49.9% to fully diluted 5.714Mar-24/25 base 6.72331-Mar-25 7.91022-Jul-25 8.565FD (warrants)

Other balance-sheet risks

ItemDetail
DTA recoverability₹559.4 Cr at 25.168% needs ~₹2,220 Cr future taxable profit (~45 years at FY26 PBT ~₹49 Cr). Net DTA not consumed (₹562.6 → ₹559.4 Cr); component on unabsorbed depreciation/losses grew ₹186.7 (FY24) → ₹437.1 → ₹487.4 Cr. Loss expiry split not disclosed. Impairment would cut BV ~₹71/share
Oman associateGuarantee ₹744.9 Cr (FY25 ₹677.8; rise is FX), loan ₹181.2 Cr (98.8% of all loans; includes ₹41.9 Cr FX), advances ₹88.3 Cr, TR ₹0.8 Cr ≈ ₹1,015 Cr
MSME / statutoryMSE dues ₹105.7 Cr + unpaid MSMED interest ₹51.7 Cr (FY25 ₹86.9 + ₹47.5 Cr); ₹76.6 Cr MSE principal paid late in FY26; PF/PT arrears >6 months (some since Jun-2020)
"Other Advances" ₹340.9 CrIn other current liabilities, unchanged FY25–FY26 (Note 15), unexplained
SIDPL round-trip₹83.4 Cr owed to subsidiary SIDPL = standalone investment in SIDPL ₹83.4 Cr — nets to zero
Contingent tax₹341.9 Cr: GST 180.0; VAT/ST 124.3; excise 15.7; IT 13.9; entry tax 6.2; service tax 1.8 (+ SEIS ₹6.4 Cr DGFT). Screener contingent liabilities ₹1,087 Cr ≈ ₹341.9 Cr tax + ₹744.9 Cr Oman guarantee [Est.]

Management, Promoters & Governance

Governance red-flag summary

#FlagSeverityEvidence
1Oman associate exposure ~₹1,015 Cr ≈ 1.06x standalone NW (₹956 Cr); attributable associate NW −₹191.2 Cr (FY25 −₹148.1 Cr); equity investment impaired but loan notCriticalNotes 30, 35, 39, 44; AOC-1
2Sec 164 disqualification: PCS vs statutory auditor certificates contradict; disqualified IDs re-appointedHighAR FY26 pp.63–64; auditor para 2(e)
3Board's Reports misstated audit findings (FY25 "no qualification"; FY26 "no adverse remark")HighAR FY25 pp.15, 22–23, 56; FY26 pp.18, 29
4MRA snap-back ₹8,046.36 Cr; ₹697.75 Cr unsustainable debt on books; CARE D / IVR D; Srei ₹46.16 Cr defaultHighNote 11(D); CARO ix
5Promoter pledge 33.09% of holding (~11.9% of equity; 11% FD) to NARCLMed-HighNote 10(a)(iv)
6FY25 clean-up: ~₹5,777 Cr of assets written off against ₹4,565.5 Cr debt write-back; KAM balance ₹5,948.5 → ₹2,066.9 → ₹1,601.6 CrHigh (hist.)Notes 2, 6, 7, 9, 11(e), 36
7Employee PF deducted Jul–Sep 2025 (₹12.75/24.53/30.47 lakh) deposited only Apr–May 2026; ₹10.49 lakh of Sep-25 apparently unpaid — despite ₹110 Cr FDsMediumCARO vii(a)
8Disputed taxes ₹341.9 Cr (FY25 ₹310.1 Cr); GST rising ₹145.1 → ₹180.0 CrMediumNote 34
9Warrant overhang expires 29-Nov-2026; Ajay Merchants 17,30,104 warrants, ₹12.5 Cr paid, ₹37.5 Cr dueMediumCG report; Note 10(a)(v)
10LODR lapses; Mundhra vacated other directorships (Sec 167(1)(a)); flat in Amitabh Das Mundhra's name; no D&O insurance/familiarisation (FY25); POSH ICC; CFO on Audit CommitteeLow-MedSecretarial audits FY25/FY26

Section 164 — the two certificates side by side (both dated 28-May-2026)

PointPractising CS / Secretarial auditor (Labh & Labh Associates)Statutory auditor (Binayak Dey & Co.)
FindingAll directors except Rajiv Mundhra, G. Ramanathan, S.K. Ray and S.K. Bhattacharyya are "in violation of Section 164 ... and are under default"Para 2(e): "none of the directors is disqualified ... under Section 164(2)", based on written representations
Directors affectedIDs P.K. Chakravarty, Indira Biswas, Dr D. Mukhopadhyay; NED Shamik DasguptaNone
Related observationsPayments to disqualified directors without lender approval contravene the ActFY25 auditor report had itself flagged a re-appointment breaching Sec 164(2)(b)
Board actionChakravarty (2nd term from 13-Feb-2026) and Biswas (from 16-Apr-2026) re-appointed at EGM 22-Apr-2026 (~99.99% approval); Dasgupta re-appointed by rotation 25-Sep-2025. Board position: disqualification runs until its statutory period lapses. Both views are presented; this report does not adjudicate which is correct.

Promoter profile — Mundhra family

ItemDetail
Lead promoterRajiv Mundhra (DIN 00014237): Non-Executive Chairman since 1-Apr-2023 (executive until 31-Mar-2023); on board since 28-Jul-2003; 93,82,990 sh (11.86%); waived FY26 sitting fees; ₹0.84 Cr past managerial remuneration still payable; chairs CSR, RMC, CoD, Fund-raising committees; NRC member
Sec 164/167Vacated other directorships under Sec 167(1)(a) (company NCD/loan default >1 year); those companies had not filed e-forms at 31-Mar-2025. FY26 PCS excludes him from default list; basis unexplained
Relatives / relatedB.D. Mundhra and Yamuna Mundhra (relatives of KMP; unpaid dividend ₹0.15/₹0.11 Cr); Mundhra Estates (₹0.35 Cr liability); Amitabh Das Mundhra holds Vashi flat for company; Parikshit Mundhra 15,91,500 sh (2.01%) classified public — relationship not disclosed. "Certain promoters" reclassified to public in FY25 (names not in AR)
Education / outside interestsNot Available — not in AR FY25/FY26
Track recordCompany slid into NCD/loan default; Simplex Projects Ltd (separate Kolkata company, not a group company per AR) went through IBC with revival plan by Sudarshan Das Mundhra — family link [UNVERIFIED]
Money into restructuringOnly Ajay Merchants' ₹12.50 Cr warrant upfront; no promoter equity subscription. Baba Basuki ₹0.71 Cr "advance received" outstanding since FY25

Promoter-group holdings (unchanged FY25 → Sep-26)

EntityShares%
Baba Basuki Distributors Pvt Ltd1,08,00,26413.65%
Rajiv Mundhra93,82,99011.86%
Ajay Merchants Pvt Ltd (+~17.3 lakh warrants)48,07,2646.08%
East End Trading & Engineering Co. Pvt Ltd12,52,9301.58%
Sandeepan Exports Pvt Ltd10,00,0001.26%
Anjali Tradelink Pvt Ltd7,50,0000.95%
Simplex Infra Properties Pvt Ltd1,62,5000.21%
Universal Earth Engineering Consultancy Services Pvt Ltd1,17,9650.15%
Regard Fin-Cap Pvt Ltd1,05,5000.13%
Giriraj Apartments Pvt Ltd90,7500.11%
Total promoter & group2,84,70,16335.99%

Key management

PersonRoleBackground
Samiran Kumar Bhattacharyya (DIN 00112844), 68WTD from 13-Aug-2025 (3 yrs); CFO from 1-Sep-2025B.Com, CA; joined 1987 as Junior Officer; ex-ED (Accounts & Finance); nil shares; FY26 pay ₹35.85 lakh; band ₹3.5–10 lakh/month (Sch V, lender approval); on Audit Committee; signs Reg 17(8) certificate; re-appointed by rotation at 23-Sep-2026 AGM
Sukumar Dutta (DIN 00062827)WTD & CFO to 31-Aug-2025Retired (age/health); FY26 pay ₹15.42 lakh incl. FY24/25 arrears; FY25 ₹37 lakh incl. FY23/24 arrears; ₹0.42 Cr still payable; re-appointment approved 27-May-2025 not intimated (Reg 30 lapse); 500 shares
Banwari Lal Bajoria (FCS 3020)Sr VP & Company SecretaryFY26 pay ₹27 lakh incl. FY25 arrears
Senior management—N.K. Kakani (Sr ED, RMC); Ashish Basu (ED Admin); Satya Narayan Rathi (ED Procurement); Technical Directors Arun Kumar Kundu, Parimal Kanti Das, Goutam Kar, Kaustab Chakraborty, Sanjoy Roy — no profiles disclosed

No MD or CEO. Salaries paid 2–3 years in arrears. Headcount per Annexure-1: 561 permanent employees (31-Mar-26).

Board of Directors (8 members)

Name (DIN)CategorySinceAttendance FY26NotesSec 164 (PCS)
Rajiv Mundhra (00014237)Non-exec Chairman, promoter28-Jul-20034/411.86%Not in default
S.K. Bhattacharyya (00112844)WTD & CFO13-Aug-20253/339-yr insiderNot in default
Pratap Kumar Chakravarty (09021538)Independent; AC chair13-Feb-2021; 2nd term 13-Feb-20264/4Sitting fees ₹3.2 lakh; on CoD and fund-raising committeeIn violation
Indira Biswas (03401620)Independent; NRC chair16-Apr-2021; 2nd term 16-Apr-20264/4₹2.6 lakhIn violation
Dr D. Mukhopadhyay (09778769)Independent; SRC chair14-Nov-20224/4₹1.4 lakhIn violation
Shamik Dasgupta (01127296), 61Non-exec non-independent25-Apr-20234/4M.Com, CS; resigned TIL Ltd board 24-Jan-2024In violation
Gurumurthy Ramanathan (10366010)Nominee — NARCL28-Mar-2025 (5 yrs)4/4Also NED Religare Enterprises + 6 others; ₹10 lakh/yr advisory fee + sitting fees (₹10.11 + ₹0.8 lakh) >50% of NED pay → Reg 17(6)(ca) special resolution sought Sep-2026Not in default
Subrata Kumar Ray (11003975)Independent28-Mar-20254/4₹1.0 lakhNot in default
CommitteeMembersNote
AuditChakravarty (chair), Biswas, Bhattacharyya (WTD/CFO)CFO on AC — independence concern
NRCBiswas (chair), Mundhra, Chakravarty
Stakeholders' RelationshipMukhopadhyay (chair), Biswas, BhattacharyyaZero investor complaints
CSRMundhra (chair), Chakravarty, BhattacharyyaNil spend; 3-yr avg net loss ₹298 Cr
Risk Management (voluntary)Mundhra, Biswas, Kakani, Bhattacharyya
Committee of DirectorsMundhra, Chakravarty, Bhattacharyya7 meetings
Fund-raisingformed 14-Feb-2025

4 board meetings FY26 (27-May, 13-Aug, 14-Nov-2025; 12-Feb-2026), 5 in FY25; IDs met 16-Mar-2026. Sitting fees ₹20,000/board, ₹15,000/AC, ₹10,000 others; total NED pay ₹9.8 lakh FY26. Skill matrix boilerplate; no ID profiles.

Shareholding trend (%)

QuarterPromoterPledged (% of prom.)FIIDIIPublic (incl. NARCL)# holders
Dec-2349.8200.350.9448.8917,345
Sep-2449.8200.420.6749.0916,138
Dec-2449.8200.460.0049.7115,831
Mar-2542.3500.620.0057.02 (NARCL 15.00)15,249
Jun-2536.9522.080.603.3959.0715,301
Sep-2535.9933.090.445.6557.9015,138
Dec-2535.9933.090.385.8057.8214,984
Mar-2635.9933.090.495.8157.7114,642
Jun-2635.9933.090.396.5957.0214,881
Sep-2635.9933.090.496.5956.9214,695
Shareholding % — Promoter (dark), DII (gold), FII (grey) 0%25%50% 49.8235.996.59 Dec-24Mar-25Jun-25Sep-25Dec-25Mar-26Jun-26Sep-26

Promoter decline is dilution only (2,84,70,663 sh Mar-25 vs 2,84,70,163 Mar-26). Promoter was 56.2% in 2017. Pledge 0% → 22.08% (Jun-25) → 33.09% (Sep-25) = 11% FD to NARCL (SAST Reg 31 filings not seen). Free float excluding NARCL ~41%. Promoter after warrants: ~35.3% if all convert; ~33.9% if only non-promoters convert.

Major holders (Sep-2026)

HolderCategory%Shares
NARCLPublic, body corporate16.24%1,28,48,027
Baba Basuki DistributorsPromoter group13.65%1,08,00,264
Rajiv MundhraPromoter11.86%93,82,990
Ajay MerchantsPromoter group6.08%48,07,264
Quant MF (Quant Infrastructure Fund)MF4.59% (4.50% Mar-26)36,31,208
Indorama India Pvt LtdBody corporate4.00%31,60,208
Parikshit MundhraPublic individual2.01%15,91,500
ICM Finance Pvt LtdPublic1.43%11,31,704
Ploutus Advisors India Pvt LtdPublic1.30%10,25,000
ICICI BankBank (OTS)1.26%10,00,000
Madhusudan Kela—1.21% (Mar-26 per ScanX)[UNVERIFIED]

Category mix (AR FY26 CG report)

CategoryHolders 26% 26Shares 26Holders 25% 25
Promoters & directors1035.992,84,70,1631142.35
UTI & mutual funds14.5035,61,37200
AIFs20.0540,50000
Banks/FIs11.2610,00,00000
FIIs/FPIs140.493,84,635110.62
NRI/OCB2620.624,88,4362510.76
ARC (NARCL)000115.00
Corporates (now incl. NARCL)22634.442,72,41,57822717.75
Individuals/HUF/trusts/CM14,12522.461,77,64,23614,74723.34
IEPF10.181,44,42610.18

103 holders with >50k shares own 86.5%; retail float ~22%. 1–500 share bucket 13,046 → 12,371 holders in FY26. Demat 99.55%.

Preferential allottees (29-May-2025, NSE allotment filing)

AllotteeInstrumentDetail
Quant Money Managers (Quant MF Infrastructure Fund)Equity + warrantsConverted 8,65,052 warrants 21-Jul-2025
Indorama India Pvt LtdEquity4.00% at Sep-26
Capri Global Holdings Pvt LtdEquitySize per name unverified
Badrikedar Commercials Pvt LtdEquitySize per name unverified
Kedia Securities Pvt LtdEquitySize per name unverified
Aamara Capital Private LimitedEquity1,00,000 shares at ₹289 — unambiguous in filing. Conflict of interest (see Tab 1/13)
Ajay Merchants Pvt Ltd (promoter group)Warrants17,30,104 warrants; ₹12.50 Cr upfront

Individual counts in the filing: 5,19,031 / 8,65,052 / 17,30,104 / 7,00,000 / 3,46,021 / 2,00,000 — column-to-name mapping garbled in text extraction (total equity tranche 72,39,447 sh). Warrant allottee list not parsed. FilingReader's "11.73 lakh shares trading approval 16-Sep-2025" does not reconcile with the AR.

Insider / SAST

Related-party transactions (FY26 standalone, ₹ Cr)

CounterpartyNatureFY26FY25Balance 31-Mar-26
Simplex Infrastructures LLC (Oman, 45%)Corporate guarantee (FX increase)+67.06+16.62744.90
Simplex Infrastructures LLCLoan (on demand; incl. FX ₹41.94 Cr)——181.17
Simplex Infrastructures LLCAdvances / other financial assets——88.32 (FY25 80.73; FY24 143.68)
Simplex Infrastructures LLCTrade receivable——0.81
PC Patel Mahalaxmi Simplex Consortium (51%)Contract turnover6.228.83Recv 3.46; other 0.59
SIDPL (100%)Liability owed by Simplex——83.38
Simplex (Bangladesh)ICD taken; interest00.48ICD 4.71; payable 3.06
Ajay MerchantsWarrant subscription12.50——
Baba Basuki DistributorsAdvance received—0.710.71
Mundhra EstatesFinancial liability——0.35
Rajiv MundhraUnpaid remuneration——0.84
Dutta / Bhattacharyya / BajoriaRemuneration0.15 / 0.36 / 0.270.37 / – / 0.270.42 / 0.21 / 0.06
G. RamanathanSitting + advisory fee0.11~0—
Promoter entities / relativesUnclaimed dividends~0.56
PF Trust / Gratuity FundContributions 3.83 / 3.042.36 / 7.99
Total RPT balances~90% Oman1,124.6 (FY25 1,053.1)

No AOC-2 filed; Oman guarantee not treated as "materially significant" RPT — questionable given size vs NW. Reg 30A: only the NARCL MRA disclosed.

Auditors

ItemDetail
StatutoryBinayak Dey & Co., Kolkata (FRN 328896E), sole proprietor Binayak Dey (M.No. 062177); appointed EGM 12-May-2022 for FY23–FY27 (mid-cycle → casual vacancy; predecessor and reason not disclosed). Fee ₹32 lakh consolidated FY26 (standalone audit ~₹18 lakh) vs ₹40.11 lakh FY25. Peer-reviewed. Rotation due 2027
OpinionUnmodified (SA & consol.) FY25 and FY26; no "Material Uncertainty" paragraph. KAMs: (1) going concern — accumulated losses ₹1,118.35 Cr SA / ₹1,095.90 Cr consol.; (2) revenue recognition (POC); (3) recoverability of ₹1,601.6 Cr unbilled/receivables/retention; (4) litigation & arbitration. EoM: Note 11(D) MRA and Note 36 exceptional items (standalone). CARO xix: no material uncertainty
Component relianceOther auditors for 10 joint operations (assets ₹70.6 Cr) and PC Patel consortium (assets ₹239.3 Cr; revenue ₹357.5 Cr); management Ind AS conversion for foreign subsidiaries, associate (Oman) and JV accepted
CARO FY26Srei ₹46.16 Cr default >365 days; not wilful defaulter; no fraud (no ADT-4); no whistle-blower complaints; audit trail OK; PF/NPS/PT delays; 4 Delhi/Navi Mumbai flats not in company's name; no cash loss. FY25 CARO: Oman branch PPE not physically verified >3 years
SecretarialFY25 A.K. Labh & Co.; FY26–FY30 Labh & Labh Associates (CS Atul Kumar Labh; fee ₹2 lakh). Qualifications: payments to disqualified directors; late SHP (12-Apr-2025 for 28-Mar-2025 allotment); Dutta re-appointment not intimated. Observations: board didn't respond; unsigned annexures; nominee pay needs Reg 17(6)(ca); POSH ICC/SHe-Box. Same person is EGM scrutiniser
Cost / internalMukesh Kumar & Associates (₹2.5 lakh FY26; ₹1.5 lakh FY27); in-house internal audit; IFC opinion unmodified

Subsidiaries, associates, JVs

EntityCountryStakeFY26Note
PC Patel Mahalaxmi Simplex Consortium Pvt LtdIndia51%Revenue ₹357.24 Cr; PAT ₹0.88 CrOnly operating subsidiary; coal-mine MDO; equity ₹3.26 Cr; assets ₹239.3 Cr; other auditor
Simplex Infra Development Pvt LtdIndia100%Nil; −₹0.02 CrInvestment ₹83.37 Cr; net assets ₹86.3 Cr mostly receivable from Simplex — circular
Maa Durga Expressways Pvt LtdIndia100% via SIDPLNilDormant road SPV; other equity −₹9.6 Cr; CARO xix flagged
Jaintia Highway Pvt LtdIndia (Meghalaya)100% via SIDPLNilDormant; negative NW; CARO xix flagged
Simplex (Middle East) LtdUAE100%Nil; −₹0.20 CrNW ~₹7.7 Cr
Simplex (Bangladesh) Pvt LtdBangladesh95%NilICD ₹4.71 Cr to parent
Simplex Infrastructures Libya JV Co.Libya65%NilNW −₹5.7 Cr; ₹3.87 Cr investment impaired
Simplex Infrastructures LLCOman45% assoc.Zero revenue; loss ₹59.8 CrAttributable NW −₹191.2 Cr; group share of unrecognised losses ₹199.1 Cr
Simplex-Almoayyed WLLBahrain49% JVShare ₹2.83 Cr; OCI ₹1.02 CrAttributable NW ₹11.98 Cr; Dec year-end
Arabian Construction Co.-Simplex InfraIndia50% JV—Dormant; NW −₹0.72 Cr
13 joint operationsIndiavariousRev ₹4.99 Cr; ₹3.12 Cr10 audited by others

No acquisitions FY25/FY26. Overseas expansion (Libya, Oman, Bangladesh) and BOT road SPVs largely failed; Bahrain is the only value-creating venture. Other investments: Electrosteel Steels (40,000 sh, ₹0.04 Cr), Simplex Avash Pvt Ltd (1,500 sh).

Litigation, regulatory and lender actions

MatterStatus
IBC / NCLTNo petition admitted to 31-Mar-2026; 2023 Central Bank Sec 7 petition rejected. Post-2023 Sec 9 petitions not checked
Delhi HC, CS(COMM) 16/2016, Simplex v. NHAI (13-Oct-2025)Suit dismissed; NHAI's ₹8.14 Cr bid-security forfeiture (Koilwar–Bhojpur, NH-30/84) upheld; Simplex had declared "NIL" debarments despite PWD Assam 2-yr debarment (27-Apr-2015) and DG MAP ban to 31-Dec-2015; "fraudulent practice" finding stands; ₹10.36 Cr damages claim rejected. Sahi dates a ruling to Jul-2026 (possibly appeal) [UNVERIFIED]
NH-31D (WB) arbitration, Jun-2026Simplex claim ~₹900 Cr vs counterclaim ~₹843.45 Cr (Sahi) [UNVERIFIED]
Wilful defaulter / fraud / forensicNone declared; no forensic audit disclosed
SEBI / exchangesCompany states no penalties in 3 yrs; exchange price-movement clarification requests 16-Apr and 22-Apr-2026 (company cited "market forces")
Tax₹341.9 Cr contingent: GST ₹180.0 Cr (Karnataka HC ₹47.4 Cr; P&H HC ₹16.2 Cr; Calcutta HC ₹7.3 Cr; Gujarat ₹14.2 Cr; Haryana ₹24.3 Cr; Odisha ₹14.1 Cr); VAT/ST ₹124.3 Cr (Maharashtra FY13 ₹55.4 Cr; WB ₹34.1 Cr; TN ₹3.2 Cr; AP ~₹10 Cr); excise ₹15.7 Cr; IT 80-IA ₹13.9 Cr (Calcutta HC); entry tax ₹6.2 Cr (UP at SC ₹2.3 Cr); service tax ₹1.8 Cr; SEIS ₹6.4 Cr

Governance scorecard

DimensionAssessment
Promoter integrity / alignmentWeak–Moderate diluted 50% → 36% with only ₹12.5 Cr cash; stake pledged to ARC
Board independenceWeak 4 of 8 flagged Sec 164; CFO on AC
Disclosure qualityWeak Board's Reports misstate auditor findings; unitemised FY27 orders
Audit qualityModerate–Weak proprietor auditor; going concern as KAM
Capital allocation / RPTWeak ₹1,015 Cr to insolvent associate
Creditor overhangHigh NARCL snap-back, 15% ARC holder, pledge invocation

Supply Chain

↑ Upstream — What Simplex Depends On

Cost head (standalone, % of revenue)FY24FY25FY26
Construction materials consumed19.3% (₹195.2 Cr)18.2% (133.2)17.3% (116.1)
Sub-contractor charges44.2% (446.6)44.5% (325.4)32.1% (215.4)
Employee cost10.8% (109.6)13.3% (97.3)16.2% (108.4)
Other expenses22.1% (223.2)23.0% (168.2)27.3% (183.1)
— power & fuel—26.721.1
— equipment hire—20.028.2
— stores & spares—13.018.1
— freight—9.311.7
— rent—12.311.6

Inputs and dependence

  • Subcontracted labour/work packages — largest cost.
  • Steel (rebar, structural); cement/RMC; aggregates (captive crushers); bitumen; diesel (fleet, gensets, rigs).
  • Hired equipment; spares; formwork/slipform hardware.
  • Oil drilling: rig consumables, imported top-drive TDS-11SA (2024; likely US-origin [INFERRED]).
  • Mining SPV: the "input" is the partner/subcontractor's mining work, passed through at near-zero margin [INFERRED].
  • Named suppliers: none disclosed (only struck-off vendors Studd Safety Product; System Infrastructure Engineering). Management cites "diversified supplier base, long-term vendor relationships".
  • Import dependence low outside overseas branches; forex used ₹100.6 Cr FY26.
  • Single-source risk: none disclosed; concentration sits in specialist subcontractors and equipment hirers.

Pass-through

MD&A flags steel, cement and fuel inflation as "a major cost risk, especially in fixed-price contracts". PSU contracts usually carry WPI-linked price-variation clauses; private ones often do not [INFERRED]. Share of PVC-protected contracts not disclosed. Materials are only ~17% of revenue, so subcontract rates and diesel are the bigger swing factors.

Supplier stress signals

Item₹ Cr
MSME principal dues105.7
MSME interest accrued and unpaid51.7 (FY25 47.5)
MSE principal paid late in FY2676.6
Trade payables >3 yrs (others / MSE)151.8 / 28.2
Payables written back (exceptional) FY25 / FY26580.1 / 108.7
Subcontractor retention held86.4 (FY24 310.9)
Advances to suppliers16.8

Suppliers and subcontractors took large haircuts; new vendors likely demand advances or LC/BG backing from a D-rated counterparty [INFERRED].

↓ Downstream — Who Depends On Simplex

End-owner / clientProjectsIndustry
NTPC groupNorth Karanpura, Tandwa; Nabinagar (NPGC) and Gadarwara chimney packages (contracting party — owner or BTG/EPC main contractor — undisclosed)Thermal power
Adani PowerRaigarh Ph-II BoP civil (CW pump house, forebay, WTP)Thermal power
UPPTCL / UP transmission [INFERRED]765 kV Anpara D–JhusiTransmission
Metro corporationsBMRCL (Bangalore Reach-3), GMRC (Ahmedabad Ph-I)Urban rail
NHAI / MoRTH / state PWDsNH-34 flyovers; NH-27 Binnaguri bypass; Bijni roadRoads
Water / sewerage bodiesChhattisgarh (Bilaspur); WB PHED (Habra–Gaighata); Goa (Mapusa)Urban infra
Housing / institutionalDDA (Dwarka HIG); WBSCL (Jhargram Medical College); ADDA/Asansol rehab [INFERRED]Buildings
K. RahejaRaheja Solaris 2BPrivate real estate
Saudi transmission developerJeddah OHTL pilingOverseas transmission
Oil India LtdDrilling services ₹255.52 Cr (5-Oct-2026); historically ONGC/OIL [INFERRED]Oil & gas
Undisclosed mine ownerMDO via PC Patel Mahalaxmi SPVCoal mining → power/steel

Concentration

  • No top-5/top-10 or >10% customer disclosure.
  • Single MDO contract ≈35% of consolidated revenue and ≈68% of consolidated RPO — gross-up concentration, not Simplex-executed work.
  • Standalone: ~₹1,195 Cr book over a handful of packages; top-5 likely >50% [Est.].
  • CARE attributes the liquidity crisis to "delays in approvals of bills from government clients".

Tenors and stickiness

  • No design-win lock-in: competitive L1 tendering with technical PQs.
  • EPC packages >12 months; chimney/BoP 2–4 years; MDO ~7 years remaining implied by RPO; drilling 2–3 years [INFERRED].
  • Retention ₹220.4 Cr gross held by clients; credit terms 30–180 days but >3-yr receivables ₹355 Cr gross (₹242.6 Cr disputed).
  • Claims recoverable ₹416.4 Cr gross; FY25 wrote off ₹2,962.6 Cr unbilled and ₹1,099.8 Cr claims. Award receivables charged to MRA lenders.

Value-chain map

Raw inputs                    Simplex (service integrator)                End-owner / end-user
Steel (SAIL/JSW/Tata*)  ─┐    Bidding & PQ → design/engineering   ─┐     NTPC / Adani / state gencos (power)
Cement/RMC (UltraTech*) ─┤    Site mobilisation of owned+hired      ├──▶  Transmission utilities (765 kV)
Aggregates (own crushers)┤    fleet (piling rigs, slipform,         │     NHAI / MoRTH / state PWDs (roads)
Diesel/bitumen (OMCs*)  ─┤    cranes, gantries, rigs)               │     Metro corps (BMRCL, GMRC), ULBs/PHED
Hired equipment         ─┤    Sub-contracted packages (32–45%       │     DDA / state housing; private RE (Raheja)
Sub-contractor labour   ─┘    of revenue) + direct labour           │     Industrial capex owners
Imported rig tech (TDS) ───▶  Oil drilling crews                    ├──▶  Oil India (drilling)
Mining partner/subcons  ───▶  MDO SPV (51%) — bills, does not       └──▶  Mine owner (undisclosed) → power/steel
                              perform (no staff/fleet/debt)
                              Overseas branches (KSA/Qatar/UAE/Bahrain JV/Oman assoc.)
* illustrative typical vendors, not disclosed by Simplex

Where pricing power sits

  1. Clients (government/PSU owners) hold most of it: L1 awards, slow payment, retention, arbitration-dependent claims — and now restrictions on arbitration.
  2. Commodity suppliers pass prices quickly; Simplex is a price-taker partly protected by PVC clauses.
  3. Simplex has niche technical pricing power only in tall chimneys, slipform, deep piling and marine — and chimney packages are often let by main EPC contractors.
  4. Weakened today: D rating, limited BG lines and supplier haircut history force faster vendor payment or lower-margin work. The 3% → 8% margin improvement reflects selective bidding and lower subcontract intensity, not pricing power.
  5. Mining MDO is a billing conduit at ~0.25% PAT margin; the executing partner holds the economics. [Analyst View]

Competitive Position

Position: once a niche leader (foundations, chimneys, marine), now a sub-scale, distressed tier-3 contractor. FY26 revenue ₹1,021 Cr = 1.1% of nine listed EPC peers' combined ₹88,587 Cr (ex-L&T) and 0.36% of L&T; 39% of Capacite, 26% of HCC, ~10% of Afcons/Cemindia. Revenue <0.1% of Centre FY27 capex (₹12.2 lakh Cr). No third-party market-share data exists. Technical PQs intact (NTPC chimney wins); financial PQ fails under a D rating.

Peer comparison (FY26 consolidated, Screener, 13-Oct-2026)

CompanyRevenueGrowthEBITDA%PAT%RoEP/E FY26 (TTM)EV/EBITDAP/BMoat / positioning
Simplex Infra1,021−5.1%5.4%4.0%5.1%48.6x (43.5x)~40–66x2.0xLegacy foundation/chimney/marine PQs; no balance-sheet moat; rated D
L&T2,85,874+11.8%12.7%6.6%15.9%26.7x (28.7x)15.5x*–Scale, top balance sheet, unmatched PQs
NCC20,823−6.2%8.8%3.5%9.2%10.8x6.1x0.98xBuildings, water, roads; state relationships
KEC International23,506+7.6%8.0%2.6%11.4%15.8x (15.9x)8.0x–Global T&D EPC; direct transmission rival
Afcons11,948−4.8%10.4%2.1%5.6%35.9x (43.9x)10.2x–Marine, tunnels, bridges, metro; SP group
HCC3,970−29.2%16.1%4.2%11.9%31.1x (38.1x)9.4x–Hydro/tunnel; closest post-restructuring analog
PNC Infratech5,368−20.7%21.2%**15.5%**2.4%4.8x (6.6x)7.4x0.55xRoads/HAM; in-house equipment
J Kumar Infra5,723+0.5%14.4%6.8%12.4%8.7x4.5x1.0xMumbai metro/flyover/tunnel
Ahluwalia4,565+11.4%9.5%5.8%13.8%14.3x (16.9x)8.9x–Buildings, hospitals; near debt-free
Capacite2,623+11.6%16.3%7.4%10.4%7.6x (7.9x)4.5x0.77xHigh-rise & mass housing (MMR)
Cemindia (ex-ITD Cem)10,061+8.8%10.1%5.9%27.8%32.6x (32.5x)20.2x–Marine, foundation, metro — closest technical analog

EBITDA = Screener operating profit (ex-OI). EV = mcap + borrowings − investments (cash not netted → upper bound). *L&T borrowings include financial services. **PNC includes HAM/annuity and ₹634 Cr OI. Simplex EV/EBITDA: 65.6x gross; ~62x net of ~₹179 Cr cash; ~50x on sustainable debt only; 30–38x on AR EBITDA incl. OI. Peer P/B shown only where in inputs.

Valuation takeaway. Simplex is the most expensive name in the set on EV/EBITDA (~40–66x on operating EBITDA; even ~30x on the most generous basis exceeds Cemindia's 20.2x) and on FY26 P/E (48.6x vs Afcons 35.9x, Cemindia 32.6x). On TTM P/E it is level with Afcons (43.5x vs 43.9x). It also has the lowest operating margin, the lowest RoCE (2.4%) and the only D rating. P/B 2.0x vs PNC 0.55x, Capacite 0.77x, NCC 0.98x, JKIL 1.0x. The market is pricing an option on post-upgrade re-rating, order-book rebuild and claims monetisation, not current earnings.

Raw inputs (FY25 → FY26, ₹ Cr)

CompanySalesOperating profitNet profitMcap / borrowings / investments
Simplex1,076 → 1,02123 → 5512 → 401,964 / 1,642 / ~0
L&T2,55,734 → 2,85,87434,551 → 36,34517,673 → 18,9545,05,307 / 1,25,497 / 68,377
NCC22,199 → 20,8231,918 → 1,836868 → 7247,807 / 3,457 / 153
KEC21,847 → 23,5061,683 → 1,869571 → 6069,567 / 5,378 / 0
Afcons12,548 → 11,9481,361 → 1,241487 → 2519,002 / 3,627 / 1
HCC5,603 → 3,970639 → 639113 → 1665,163 / 1,019 / 198
PNC6,769 → 5,3682,066 → 1,137815 → 8323,986 / 5,170 / 788
JKIL5,693 → 5,723826 → 823391 → 3873,376 / 621 / 318
Ahluwalia4,099 → 4,565342 → 435202 → 2663,799 / 73 / 0
Capacite2,350 → 2,623379 → 427204 → 1931,467 / 483 / 32
Cemindia9,246 → 10,061860 → 1,016373 → 59819,522 / 1,001 / 0

Peer flags: Afcons 100% promoter pledge, low interest coverage; HCC promoter 16.2% with 82.4% pledged, debtor days 207; PNC contingents ₹3,729 Cr; JKIL ₹4,383 Cr; Ahluwalia ₹3,161 Cr; Capacite debtor days 151, promoter 31.7%.

Strengths and weaknesses vs each peer

PeerSimplex stronger onSimplex weaker on
L&TNiche agility, lower overhead in chimneys/foundationsEverything structural: 280x revenue, 12.7% margin, 15.9% RoE, global PQs
NCCPower-plant civil and marine know-how20x revenue; 8.8% margin; 0.98x P/B vs 2.0x
KECFoundation/piling for difficult-terrain towersIn-house towers, global T&D book, BG lines — transmission (36% of Simplex book) is KEC's home turf
AfconsLower absolute leverage post-MRADominates marine/tunnels/bridges with group backing and international PQs
HCCLower relative leverage if MRA completes; more diversified4x revenue; 16.1% margin; 24.8% RoCE
PNCNo HAM equity commitmentsRoad fleet, 21% margin, 0.55x P/B
J KumarBroader segment/geographic spread14% margin, 4.5x EV/EBITDA, low net debt
AhluwaliaIndustrial and power civilNear debt-free, +11% growth, deeper building book
CapacitePower, marine, infra beyond buildings2.6x revenue, 16% margin; strong in MMR where Raheja job sits
Cemindia—Most direct technical competitor; 10x revenue; 27.8% RoE

Industry structure and Porter's Five Forces

ForceIntensityRationale
RivalryHighFragmented below top 10; L1 tendering; well-capitalised mid-caps
Buyer powerHighGovt/PSU (NTPC, NHAI, utilities, Oil India, municipalities) and large private (Adani, Raheja) set retentions, DLPs, LDs; restrict arbitration
Supplier powerMediumSteel/cement partly passed through; equipment hire +41%; vendors tighten terms for a D-rated counterparty
New entrantsMediumLow for sub-₹100 Cr civil; high for chimneys, deep foundations, marine
SubstitutesLow–MediumPrecast, modular, PEB; HAM/TOT favour equity-rich developers

Barriers to entry: moderate overall — PQ thresholds, BG capacity, specialised fleet, track record. Simplex owns the technical record but fails the financial PQ. Moat durability: weak; brand damaged by prolonged default; claimed ~15-yr average staff tenure but no increments in FY26 → retention risk. Pricing power: none demonstrated.

Industry size, policy and trends

ItemData / effect on Simplex
Union Budget FY27 capex₹12,21,821 Cr (~3.1% of GDP; +11.5% vs FY26 RE)
RailwaysRecord ₹2.93 lakh Cr; 7 high-speed corridors; ₹52,108 Cr rolling stock; ₹37,750 Cr doubling — Simplex rail book "insignificant"
MoRTH / NHAI₹3.10 lakh Cr / ₹1.87 lakh Cr (~+10%); RE data show actual road/urban-rail spend undershot BE; Bharatmala winding down
AR MD&A outlookIndian construction revenue +8–10% FY27; India market 6–7% CAGR; global 5–6% CAGR to 2030; FY26 GDP +7.4%, GFCF +7.8% (~30% of GDP), inflation 1.8%
Power transmission (36%)Renewable evacuation, Green Energy Corridor; most crowded EPC segment (KEC, Kalpataru, Tata Projects, L&T). CEA plan size not verified
Thermal power civilMost defensible niche; revived NTPC/state genco tendering. GW target not verified
MoF OM 3-Jun-2024; MoRTH circular 12-Jan-2026 + NHAI Feb-2026Negative Limits arbitration in public procurement (≥₹10 Cr claims removed from binding arbitration on NH contracts, existing arbitrations carved out — single secondary source, verify). Hits Simplex's ₹416 Cr claims
Vivad se Vishwas II (2023)One-time contractual dispute settlement; AR does not mention Simplex using it; successor not verified
New Labour CodesEffective 21-Nov-2025; rules notified 8-May-2026; higher gratuity/PF cost
ConsolidationLarge tenders need net worth/BG/turnover thresholds that exclude stressed players; legacy stressed contractors structurally lost share
TechnologyBIM, prefab/modular, precast segmental — Simplex R&D zero

Risks & Red Flags

Oman associate exposure vs capital base (₹ Cr) Market cap1,964 Oman exposure~1,015 (guarantee 745 + loan 181 + adv. 88) Standalone NW956.3 NW ex-DTA396.9 Oman associate: zero revenue, equity −₹425 Cr. Exposure = 1.06x NW, ~2.6x ex-DTA NW, ~52% of mcap

Risk register

#RiskCategorySeverityExplanationMitigant
1Oman associate exposureFinancial / GovernanceHighZero revenue FY25–26; equity −₹424.95 Cr (FY25 −₹329.15 Cr); FY26 loss ₹59.8 Cr; liabilities ₹2,050.8 vs assets ₹1,625.8 Cr. Loan ₹181.2 Cr (₹41.9 Cr FX), receivables ₹88.3 + ₹0.8 Cr, guarantee ₹744.9 Cr on fully utilised facilities ≈ ₹1,015 Cr > NW. Unrecognised loss share ₹199.1 Cr; no impairment on loanManagement: "adequately covered by the expected ongoing arbitration claims receivables"; increase FX-only. No independent support
2MRA default / reinstatementFinancialHighSustainable debt ₹948.6 Cr (~₹301 Cr repaid/converted since cut-off). DSCR 0.28x. Default → ₹8,046.36 Cr + interestFY27 current maturity only ₹63.8 Cr; FDs ₹110 Cr + cash ₹50 Cr; award proceeds; asset monetisation
3₹697.8 Cr unsustainable debt on booksFinancialMed (two-sided)"Retained in books" per Note 11(D). If MRA completes, write-back → economic net debt ~₹770 Cr, net D/E ~0.8x vs reported 1.71x; on default it joins reinstatement₹169.8 Cr written back FY26
4Rating at D; no BG linesFinancial / BusinessHighCARE D (13-Nov-2025), IVR D (22-Sep-2025); Srei ₹46.16 Cr default >365 days; Sep-2026 settlement unconfirmed99.55% settled; upgrade targeted Jan-2027
5Order book rebuild / executabilityBusinessMedium (was High)RPO −33% to ₹1,194.7 Cr; ₹350–475 Cr FY26 attrition; FY26 inflow ₹529.5 Cr < revenueFY27 YTD inflow ≈₹1,175 Cr [Fact]; NTPC chimney wins; Oil India
6Receivables/contract assets/claims recoverabilityFinancialHighTR ₹436.5 + contract assets ₹1,165.1 + claims ₹414.9 ≈ ₹2,016 Cr net (3.0x SA revenue); ~70% gross TR >3 yrs; KAM #3ECL ₹301.2 Cr; write-offs absorbed by MRA gains
7Going concern judgementFinancialHighKAM #1; accumulated losses ₹1,118 Cr SA / ₹1,096 Cr consol.; relies on MRA, asset monetisation, OTSProfitable FY25–26; equity; current ratio 2.35x
8DTA recoverabilityFinancialHigh₹559.4 Cr = 58% of NW; ~45 years of FY26 PBT to use; impairment −₹71/shareUnabsorbed depreciation does not expire
9Arbitration regime tighteningRegulatoryHighMoF 2024 OM; MoRTH/NHAI 2026 circulars (verify) slow claim monetisationExisting arbitrations carved out; Oman claims foreign-seated
10Director disqualification (Sec 164)GovernanceHighPCS: 4 directors in violation; auditor: none; two re-appointed 22-Apr-2026Board: disqualification lapses with time; lender approvals sought
11Secretarial / LODR lapsesGovernanceMediumPayments to disqualified directors; Reg 31 delay; Reg 30 non-intimation; Reg 17(6)(ca); POSH/SHe-Box; unsigned annexures; CSE listing pending 20.38 lakh sharesNew 5-yr secretarial auditor
12Auditor quality / component relianceGovernanceMediumSole proprietor; ₹32 lakh fee for ₹3,700 Cr balance sheet; largest subsidiary and 10/13 JOs audited by others; foreign GAAP conversion by managementRotation 2027; peer-reviewed
13Warrant lapse / dilutionFinancial / GovernanceMedium65,55,883 warrants; ₹142.1 Cr due by 29-Nov-2026; CMP ~14% below ₹289; lapse forfeits ₹47.37 Cr and loses growth capital; exercise dilutes 8.3%Forfeiture accrues to company
14Promoter dilution and pledgeGovernanceMedium56.2% (2017) → 42.35% (Mar-25) → 35.99%; 33.1% pledged to NARCLStructural pledge, not margin funding
15Statutory dues arrearsGovernanceMediumPF arrears since Jun-2020; Maharashtra PT since 2021; FY26 delaysSmall amounts
16Tax litigationRegulatoryMedium₹341.9 Cr contingent (GST ₹180.0 Cr rising)Multi-forum appeals
17Other RPT itemsGovernanceLow–MedSIDPL ₹83.4 Cr circular; Bangladesh ICD ₹4.7 Cr; Vashi flat; Mundhra Estates ₹0.35 Cr; chairman ₹0.84 Cr; "Other Advances" ₹340.9 Cr unexplainedAC quarterly review
18Execution / key-personExecutionMedium561 permanent staff; no MD/CEO; WTD+CFO combined; no incrementsLong-tenured project staff
19Fixed-price / input-costBusinessMediumSteel, cement, fuel in private fixed-price contracts; equipment hire +41%PVC clauses in PSU contracts
20Geopolitical / FXMacroMediumOman, UAE, KSA, Bahrain, Libya, Bangladesh; FCTR ₹132 Cr; 3% USD move = ₹7.3 Cr PBTRMC hedging
21Interest rateMacroLowInterest ₹6.7 Cr; post-upgrade WC lines at market ratesLow burden
22Low-margin MDO subsidiaryBusinessLow–Med35% of revenue at 0.25% PAT; negative net current assets; flatters scaleMulti-year contract
23Technology obsolescenceBusinessLow–MedZero R&D; capex ₹47.9 CrSelective tech absorption
24ESG / safetyESGLow–MedLabour-intensive sites; POSH lapse; no CSR obligationOSH Code compliance stated
25New oil-drilling verticalExecutionLow–MedRig uptime/penalty risk; JV structure (Breitling 74:26) vs company award unclearRig and top drive in place
26NARCL exit overhangMarketMedium16.24% forced holder; MRA contemplates exit; ICICI 1.26% probable sellerLock-ins; patient concentrated base
27Two-sided arbitration (NH-31D)LegalMediumClaim ~₹900 Cr vs counterclaim ~₹843.45 Cr [UNVERIFIED]; Delhi HC NHAI ruling on tender declarations—

Red-flag checklist

Red flagStatusEvidence
Rising debtFalling, reinstatement risk₹2,174 → ₹1,642 Cr consol.; sustainable ₹949 Cr; DSCR 0.28x
Margin deteriorationImproving from very low baseConsol. OPM 2.1% → 5.4%; Q1 FY27 7.2%; still lowest in peers
Auditor concernsYesGoing-concern KAM; proprietor firm; component reliance; CARO Srei default
Related-party exposureSevereOman ~₹1,015 Cr
Promoter sellingNoShare count unchanged; dilution only
Equity dilutionYes57.1 → 67.2 → 79.1 mn shares; +6.56 mn warrants
Customer lossPartial, recoveringRPO −33% FY26; FY27 inflows recovering
Litigation / taxYes₹341.9 Cr tax; ₹416 Cr claims; litigation KAM
Commodity / currency / rateModerateOMR, AED, LYD, BDT exposure
Key-person dependencyModerateWTD-CFO combined; thin bench
Earnings qualityWatchOI ₹32.5–35.6 Cr = ~36–40% of reported EBITDA; DTA; write-offs netted against write-backs; Screener "possible capitalisation of interest"

Management Commentary & Guidance

No earnings calls exist. Simplex does not hold quarterly conference calls; no transcripts or investor presentations were found (AR: presentations posted "if any"). No sell-side coverage (one aggregator's "MOFSL/YES/JM Neutral, TP ₹24–27" belongs to a different company and is excluded). Management's voice comes only from Chairman's letters, Board's report, MD&A, exchange intimations; auditor, secretarial auditor, CARO, monitoring-agency and rating observations substitute for analyst Q&A. No numeric revenue, margin or inflow guidance appears in any document reviewed.

Management in its own words

FY25 AR (Aug-2025) — "Simplex 2.0" (triumphant)

  • "an epoch-making milestone ... laying the groundwork for Simplex 2.0".
  • "We have stabilized operations, improved working capital resources, and reignited stakeholder confidence."
  • "successful completion of a ₹423.66 crore fund-raising exercise" — only ₹281.59 Cr received to date.
  • Pillars: operational excellence; "selectively pursue shorter duration projects with higher ROCE"; "lean organisation, focus on cash flow and margin enhancement".
  • MD&A: "enormous opportunities and is expected to experience substantial growth in near future."
  • FY25 orders ~₹650 Cr; book "above Rs 1,700 cr".

FY26 AR (May/Aug-2026) — confident but conditional

  • "an important inflection point in the Company's turnaround journey."
  • Settled with lenders representing 99.55%; balance 0.45% "expected to close by September 2026. Accordingly the rating improvement is expected to happen by January 2027 after the cooling period of 3 months."
  • Upgrade "expected to enhance our bidding capabilities and improve our success rate".
  • "intact execution capabilities and pre-qualifications in diverse sectors."
  • Admission: "intense competition, input cost pressures and liquidity constraints".
  • "At present no particular risk whose adverse impact may threaten the existence of the Company is visualized" — while the auditor keeps going concern as KAM #1.
  • Dividend nil "to conserve cash".

Tone over time

PeriodSourceToneKey phrases
FY22–FY24Lender processDefensiveRBI-framework schemes "could not be implemented"; PNB to NARCL
Aug-2025FY25 ARTriumphant"Simplex 2.0", "enormous opportunities"
May/Aug-2026FY26 ARConfident, conditional"inflection point"; growth tied to Jan-2027 upgrade; "liquidity constraints"
Jan–Oct 2026Exchange intimationsQuietly promotionalOrder filings "expected to strengthen order book"; "market forces" on Apr-2026 price queries

Recurring themes: rating upgrade as bidding trigger; selective short-tenure bidding; Middle East as growth pocket; arbitration and non-core asset monetisation as repayment source and Oman cover; centenary/"intact PQs"; no numeric targets. Contradictions: "asset-light" vs ₹47.9 Cr capex; "encouraging additions" vs shrinking book; "3000" vs "2,600" projects.

Delivery vs narrative (₹ mn, AR)

₹ mnFY24FY25FY26
Standalone revenue10,1097,3136,702
Standalone EBITDA (incl. OI)456745900
Standalone "EBITDA margin"4.5%10.2%13.4%
Finance cost800155128
Depreciation691543291
PBT before exceptional(1,035)47481
Exceptional–1438
PAT (SA)(719)97377
Consolidated revenue13,88510,75610,212
Consolidated PAT(723)121404
Order inflow (stated)n.a.~6,500~5,295
Order book year-endn.a.~17,000>12,000
RPO (SA)n.a.17,84511,947
Book-to-bill (inflow/revenue)n.a.~0.89x~0.79x

Guidance vs outcome — credibility check

#What management saidWhat happenedVerdict
1"substantial growth in near future" (Aug-25)FY26 −8% SA, −5% consol.; growth only in Q1 FY27 consol. (+20%), SA still −2.6%Missed
2"begun to secure new orders across core sectors"FY26 inflow ₹530 Cr vs ₹650 Cr; book −29%; RPO −33%Missed
2a"order book also witnessed encouraging additions" (FY26)Roll-forward implies ₹350–475 Cr vanished unexplainedContradicted
3"successful completion of ₹423.66 cr fund-raising"₹281.59 Cr received; ₹142.1 Cr warrant balance out of the moneyOverstated
40.45% settlement "by September 2026"Srei ₹46.16 Cr (₹40.02 + ₹6.14) in default at 31-Mar and 30-Jun-26; no settlement filing found by 13-Oct-26Unconfirmed, likely slipping
5Rating "by January 2027"Needs cure + ~90 days; slip in #4 pushes to ~Feb–Mar 2027+At risk
6"improvement in margins"Consol. OPM ~1–2% → ~7–8%; SA op. 3.0% → 8.1%Delivered (modestly)
7Shorter, lower-WC projectsReceivable turnover 0.71 → 1.14x; but ₹1,602 Cr still lockedPartial
8"accelerated order inflows" after re-ratingFY27 YTD ≈₹1,175 Cr before any re-rating [Fact]; ₹920 Cr not itemised in filingsEarly delivery
9Proceeds used without deviationCARE monitoring: no deviation; ₹172.88 Cr used; ₹108.71 Cr in PNB FDsDelivered (cash idle)

Non-management voices (substitute for analyst Q&A)

VoiceWhat it reveals
Statutory auditor4 KAMs (going concern; POC revenue; ₹1,601.61 Cr recoverability; litigation); consolidated opinion unmodified, relies on other auditors for subsidiary with ₹357.49 Cr revenue and management GAAP conversion
CAROSrei ₹46.16 Cr >365 days; not wilful defaulter
MRA Note 11(D)"NARCL in its sole discretion can extend or revoke the MRA including reinstatement of ... Rs 8,046.36 cr ... along with interest"
Secretarial auditor FY26Sec 164 violations; payments to disqualified directors; Reg 31/30 lapses; Reg 17(6)(ca); POSH; CSE listing pending
Secretarial auditor FY25No D&O insurance; no familiarisation; Mundhra s.167 vacation; website policies "in process of updation"
Monitoring agency (CARE) Q4 FY26, 9-May-2026Issue ₹423.69 Cr; received ₹281.59 Cr; used ₹172.88 Cr; ₹108.71 Cr in PNB FDs; flagged CARE D and share price below warrant conversion price
MSME note 14(b)₹105.74 Cr principal + ₹51.69 Cr interest unpaid; ₹151.8 Cr payables >3 yrs
Delhi HC (13-Oct-2025)Upheld NHAI ₹8.14 Cr bid-security forfeiture; "fraudulent practice" finding on debarment declaration stands

Street & sentiment

LensFinding
Brokerage coverageNone: no rating, target price or consensus; no brokerage upgrades/downgrades in 12 months — only D-category reaffirmations by CARE and Infomerics
Implied anchor₹289–294 paid by Quant MF, NARCL, ICICI, preferential allottees and promoter warrants; CMP ~14% below — new institutional money is underwater
Institutional backersQuant MF (CIO Sandeep Tandon's team) is the only identifiable institutional backer (Rs 289 subscription + early warrant conversion); no public comment found. DII stake +0.78pp in the Jun-26 quarter, buyer unattributed. 14 FPIs hold 3.85 lakh shares (immaterial)
ForumsNo dedicated ValuePickr thread — only a 2014 point-and-figure post and a 9-Apr-2025 ticker mention ("Bull therapy 101", mcap ~₹1,703 Cr). Reddit, X and Moneycontrol boards not assessed (blocked)
Retail behaviourShareholder count down ~15% in 3 years (17,345 Dec-23 → 14,695 Sep-26); 1–500 share bucket shrinking — slow retail exit
MediaFilings-driven only (Business Standard Apr-2022 "board to mull fund raising"; FilingReader summaries); no TV/social opinion coverage retrieved
Recurring debatesBull: debt resolved, ~₹282 Cr equity, orders reviving, return to profit, ~2x book, Quant/NARCL in at ₹289. Bear: D ratings, WC days 518, contingents ₹1,087 Cr, retained earnings −₹1,118 Cr, RoCE 2.4%, 43x P/E, 16% NARCL overhang, warrants OTM, promoter 36% with a third pledged, 5-yr sales CAGR −14% (Screener flag)
Net readCautiously neutral; event risk concentrated in the 29-Nov-2026 warrant deadline; NARCL exit timing and a rating upgrade out of D are the gating debates

Source caveat: heard.md's "Company states FY26 order inflow ₹1,920 Cr" and "orders ₹1,920 Cr in FY26" are superseded by the 5-Oct-2026 NSE filing (FY27 YTD ≈₹1,175 Cr).

Event log (Oct-2024 to Oct-2026)

DateEvent
19-Nov-2024CARE reaffirms D
15-Jan-2025MRA with NARCL (via IDRCL)
12-Mar-2025EGM: NARCL conversion; QIP enabling ₹600 Cr; s.180 limits ₹12,500 Cr
28-Mar-2025NARCL 15%; nominee + ID inducted; implemented 31-Mar-2025
22-Apr-2025EGM approves preferential issue; S.K. Ray and G. Ramanathan
14-May-2025JV with Breitling Drilling (Deep Industries) 74:26
27/28-May-2025Q4 FY25: PAT ~₹43 Cr aided by ₹52 Cr OI
29-May-2025Preferential equity + warrants allotted (incl. Aamara Capital Pvt Ltd 1,00,000 sh); NARCL top-up
23-Jun-2025EGM approves ICICI OTS conversion and NARCL top-up
21/22-Jul-2025Warrant conversion 8.65 lakh; ICICI 10 lakh; NARCL 1.73 lakh
13-Aug-2025Q1 FY26 back to profit; CFO transition
22/24-Sep-2025Infomerics reaffirms IVR D; 25-Sep-2025 107th AGM
13-Oct-2025Delhi HC dismisses Simplex suit vs NHAI
13/14-Nov-2025CARE reaffirms D; Q2 FY26 PAT ₹8.5 Cr
21-Jan-2026~₹154 Cr power EPC order (client undisclosed; possibly Nabinagar)
06-Feb-2026~₹91.96 Cr power order (possibly Gadarwara) [unverified-aggregator]
13-Feb-2026Q3 FY26 PAT ₹8.1 Cr; total income +13.9%
16/17 & 22-Apr-2026Exchange price-movement clarifications; "market forces"
22-Apr-2026EGM re-appoints IDs Chakravarty and Biswas
09-May-2026Monitoring agency report
28/29-May-2026FY26 results: SA PAT ₹37.7 Cr; Q4 EBITDA 7.6%
Jun-2026NH-31D arbitration ~₹900 Cr vs ₹843.45 Cr [UNVERIFIED]
11/12-Aug-2026Q1 FY27: revenue ₹291 Cr (+20%), OPM 7.2%, PAT ₹10.4 Cr; Srei default outstanding at 30-Jun-26; deviation statement nil
26-Aug-2026Pragya Mercantile sells 4 lakh sh at ₹245.6
29-Aug-2026FY26 AR filed
23-Sep-2026108th AGM (VC); all 4 resolutions passed
25-Sep-2026Trading window closed for Q2 FY27
05-Oct-2026Oil India ₹255.52 Cr + ~₹920 Cr other FY27 orders (NSE filing)

Growth, Outlook & Valuation

Order book and inflows

ItemMar-25Mar-26Oct-26
Stated order book~1,700>1,200~1,700–1,900 [Est.]
Standalone RPO (Ind AS 115)1,784.51,194.7—
Consolidated RPO4,652.83,705.7—
Non-standalone RPO (≈ mining SPV gross-up)~2,868~2,511 (~68%)—
Inflow (year / YTD)~650~529.5≈1,175 [Fact]
Book / standalone revenue~2.4x~1.8x~2.5–2.8x on TTM SA ₹667 Cr
FY27 inflow reconciliation. NSE filing 05-Oct-2026: "awarded a new contract for oil drilling services by Oil India Limited, aggregating to approximately ₹255.52 Crores. In addition, the Company had received during the current financial year so far, several orders ... aggregating approximately ₹920 Crores." → ₹920 Cr excludes Oil India → FY27 YTD ≈ ₹1,175 Cr [Fact]. Rejected: ₹1,920 Cr (Screener/Arthneeti; heard.md's "FY26 inflow ₹1,920 Cr" is wrong), ₹3,125.52 Cr (Arthneeti), ₹2,175.52 Cr / ₹1,255.52 Cr (EquityBulls), HDFC Sky's "lifts to ~₹920 Cr". The ₹920 Cr of other orders was not itemised in separate Reg 30 filings (ScanX shows no Q1 FY27 order filings) although Simplex filed for orders as small as ₹92 Cr — a disclosure inconsistency.
Implied current book (₹ Cr)LowHigh
Opening RPO 31-Mar-261,1951,195
+ FY27 YTD inflow1,1751,175
− H1 FY27 standalone execution (Q1 ₹150 Cr + Q2 est.)(350)(310)
− Allowance for descoping/attrition (FY26 ₹350–475 Cr)(320)(160)
Implied book [Est.]~1,700~1,900
Zero-attrition mechanical roll-forward (upper bound)~2,050
FY26 roll-forward (₹ Cr)RPO basisStated basis
Opening1,784.51,700
+ Inflow529.5530
− Execution (contract turnover / revenue)(641)(670)
= Expected~1,673~1,560
Actual1,194.7>1,200
Unexplained attrition~475~350+
Standalone order book (₹ Cr) 1,785RPO Mar-25 1,195RPO Mar-26 1,175FY27 YTD inflow 1,700–1,900Implied Oct-26 [Est.]

Order wins (last ~20 months)

DateClient / projectValueSector
FY25Adani Power Raigarh Ph-II (2x800 MW) BoP civil + prefab steeln.d.Power
FY252 flyovers NH-34 (Omarpur, Dhulian), WBn.d.Roads
FY25Descoped Binnaguri bypass NH-27 (EPC)n.d.Roads
FY26NTPC Nabinagar STPP-II chimneypossibly ₹154 Cr (21-Jan-2026)Power
FY26NTPC Gadarwara STPP-II chimneypossibly ₹91.96 Cr (6-Feb-2026)Power
FY26Raheja Solaris 2B civil (balance qty)n.d.Buildings
FY26Jeddah OHTL piling, Saudi Arabian.d.Overseas
Apr–Oct 2026"Several orders across various sectors and locations from both public and private sectors"~₹920 CrVarious
05-Oct-2026Oil India Ltd — oil drilling services₹255.52 CrOil & gas

Catalysts

CatalystTimingWhat to watch
Q2 FY27 results~mid-Nov 2026Srei default cured? standalone revenue growth? OPM ≥7%? order book disclosure
Warrant exercise29-Nov-2026₹142.1 Cr inflow vs ₹47.37 Cr forfeiture; Ajay Merchants' ₹37.5 Cr
Srei settlementTargeted Sep-2026 (unconfirmed)Settlement filing; CARO default cleared
Rating upgradeTargeted Jan-2027CARE / IVR out of D → BG lines, PQs
Oman arbitration / guaranteeOpenAny award, settlement or invocation
Unsustainable debt write-backOn MRA milestones₹697.8 Cr write-back vs reinstatement
Auditor rotation2027 AGMQuality of successor firm

Long-term drivers (3–5y): thermal capacity revival (chimneys, CW, BoP), transmission build-out, Middle East piling/transmission, drilling services; budget capex ₹12.2 lakh Cr. Expansion plans: no facility/capex guidance; FY26 capex ₹47.9 Cr (rig, P&E). Management numeric guidance: none. Analyst consensus FY27/FY28: none — no coverage.

Valuation

MetricValueBasis
Market cap / FD mcap₹1,964 / ₹2,133 Cr7.910 / 8.565 Cr shares
P/E43.5xTTM consol. PAT ₹46 Cr (SA 44.6x)
P/E47.9x / 48.6xFY26 EPS ₹5.20 / mcap ÷ PAT ₹40.4 Cr
P/B reported2.0xConsol. BV ₹123 (SA ₹120.9 → 2.06x)
P/B ex-DTA4.7xConsol. ex-DTA NW ₹416 Cr (₹52.6/sh); SA ₹50.2/sh → 5.0x
EV/order book~1.9xEV ₹3,424 Cr / ~₹1,800 Cr [Est.]
Dividend yield / buyback0% / noneNo dividend since FY19

EV/EBITDA matrix

EV basisEV ₹ CrTTM op. ₹68 CrFY26 op. ₹55.2 CrFY26 reported ₹90.3 Cr
Gross book debt, no cash netting (mcap + ₹1,641.6)3,60653x65.6x40x
Book debt − cash/FDs ₹181.4 Cr3,42450x62x38x
Sustainable debt only ₹948.6 Cr − cash2,73140x49x30x

Headline range used across report: ~40–66x on operating EBITDA. 3-year average multiples not meaningful (FY24 losses; FY24 EV/EBITDA >200x on ₹7,180 Cr defaulted debt).

Reference points

Anchor₹/sharevs CMP ₹249
NARCL conversion (Mar-25)281.36CMP −11.5%
Preferential / warrants (May-25)289CMP −13.8%
ICICI OTS (Jul-25)294CMP −15.3%
52-week high / low318 / 136
~3 years ago (back-solved)~60–65~1.5x FY24 BV ~₹40
P/B at NARCL price3.6x Mar-25 BV ~₹78
Reported BV / ex-DTA BV123 / 52.62.0x / 4.7x

Scenario framing (no broker targets exist) [Analyst View]

CaseAssumptionsIndicative value
BullSrei settled, upgrade by Q4 FY27, warrants exercised (₹142 Cr), standalone revenue +20–25% on ~₹1,800 Cr book, FY28 PAT ~₹80–100 Cr, 25x P/E on 8.565 Cr shares~₹235–290
BaseUpgrade slips to mid-2027; warrants partly lapse; PAT ₹50–60 Cr; multiple compresses toward 30x~₹175–210 (below CMP)
BearFurther write-offs, DTA impairment debate or Oman guarantee pressure; valuation reverts to ~1.5–2x ex-DTA BV (₹52.6)~₹80–105

Final Verdict

Conflict of interest disclosure. Per Simplex's NSE "Allotment of Securities" filing dated 29-May-2025, an entity named Aamara Capital Private Limited was a non-promoter preferential allottee of 1,00,000 Simplex equity shares at ₹289 (≈0.13% of ~7.9 Cr post-issue shares [Est.]). Whether it still holds them is not known from public data. Readers should treat this report's views accordingly. This verdict is strictly evidence-based and is not tilted either way.
Business QualityWeak
Management QualityWeak
Financial QualityWeak
ValuationExpensive
Overall ViewNegative

Bull case

  1. Debt resolved at a deep haircut (NARCL bought ~₹5,650 Cr of exposure for ₹640 Cr; sustainable debt ₹1,250 Cr, now ₹948.6 Cr) with ₹281.59 Cr fresh equity; FY27 current maturity only ₹63.8 Cr.
  2. Order inflow inflecting before any upgrade: ≈₹1,175 Cr FY27 YTD (2.2x FY26), incl. Oil India ₹255.52 Cr drilling.
  3. Real margin repair (SA op. 3.0% → 8.1%; 13.3% in Q1 FY27); an upgrade by Jan-2027 unlocks BG lines and PQs.

Bear case

  1. Balance sheet: DTA 58% of NW; Oman exposure ~₹1,015 Cr > NW ₹956 Cr; ₹1,601.6 Cr aged contract assets; DSCR 0.28x.
  2. Restructuring reversible (₹8,046.36 Cr reinstatement on default), ratings D, Srei unresolved; governance contradictions (Sec 164, misstated Board's Reports).
  3. Shrinking standalone revenue at ~40–66x EV/EBITDA and 48.6x FY26 P/E — the richest in the peer set on those measures (TTM P/E 43.5x, level with Afcons) on the weakest fundamentals.

Base case (12–18m)

Operating margins hold at 7–13% and standalone revenue starts growing in H2 FY27 on the new book, but the upgrade slips beyond Jan-2027 and part of the out-of-the-money warrants lapse. Earnings grow while the multiple compresses toward ~30x, giving an indicative value of ~₹175–210 (Tab 12) — below the current ₹249 and well below the ₹289 anchor. [Analyst View]

5 things to remember

  1. Consolidated growth ≠ Simplex growth: ~35% of revenue is a 0.25%-margin coal-mine MDO pass-through.
  2. Reported EBITDA (₹90 Cr) includes ₹35.6 Cr other income; core is ₹54–55 Cr.
  3. Net worth ₹956 Cr = ₹559 Cr DTA + ₹397 Cr; Oman exposure ~₹1,015 Cr.
  4. FY27 YTD inflow is ₹1,175 Cr per the filing — not ₹1,920 Cr.
  5. 29-Nov-2026 warrants (₹142 Cr) and the Jan-2027 rating target are the two dated tests.

5 questions to ask before investing

  1. Has the Srei ₹46.16 Cr default been settled, and what has CARE said since Nov-2025?
  2. What independent evidence supports the Oman arbitration claims "covering" the ₹744.9 Cr guarantee?
  3. Why did ~₹350–475 Cr disappear from the FY26 order book, and what is the ₹920 Cr of FY27 orders (clients, sectors)?
  4. Will promoters (Ajay Merchants) and Quant exercise warrants at ₹289 with the stock at ~₹249?
  5. How will the Sec 164 conflict between the PCS and statutory auditor be resolved, and who replaces the auditor in 2027?

Monitorables

SignalPositive ifNegative if
Q2 FY27 standalone revenueYoY growth >10%Further decline
Warrants 29-Nov-2026Promoter + Quant convertLapse / forfeiture
RatingUpgrade by Jan–Mar 2027Reaffirmation at D
OmanAward/settlement with cashGuarantee invocation
Exceptional itemsNet write-back of ₹697.8 CrNew write-offs vs debt write-backs
Simplex has survived; it has not yet recovered. The debt resolution, fresh equity, margin repair and ₹1,175 Cr of FY27 inflows are real, but at ₹249 the market already pays the richest EV/EBITDA multiple in its peer group for an outcome that still depends on a D-rated balance sheet, a reversible restructuring and a ₹1,015 Cr Oman exposure. Negative at CMP; revisit after the Q2 FY27 results, the 29-Nov-2026 warrant deadline and any rating action.

Sources

Merged and de-duplicated from the five research inputs plus coordinator verification. All accessed 13-Oct-2026 unless stated.

Company filings and annual reports

Credit ratings

Financial databases and shareholding

News and aggregators

Legal and regulatory

Industry / budget

Not verified / gaps